Will Donald Trump say “Ever”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Ever” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 25, 2025 (67%), most recently on Jun 29, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 7. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Ever
- Probability
- 44% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…we won all three times with the most votes, more votes than ever gotten by any political candidate by millions. Millions and millions. Thank you.…
…just a little while ago that Elon Omar, not a person I've ever been particularly fond of, that her name is not Elon Omar, the…
…for many years, but I think we're closer to it than anyone's ever been. We're working very hard on it. For years, our nation has…
…mom slaps him around for I voted for that man. Don't you ever do that again, son. I still love you, son. Hard to believe,…
…going to be a tremendous amount of money. It's the largest commission ever paid, probably for anything, anywhere, because the numbers you're talking about are…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Ever”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Ever” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 25, 2025 (67%), most recently on Jun 29, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Ever” next time?
- 44%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Ever’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/ever (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=ever · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP