Will Donald Trump say “Strike”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Strike” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 25, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jun 25, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 press conferences we have transcripts for (Jun 17, 2026 – Jul 8, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Strike
- Probability
- 41% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 2 press conferences
- said in 1 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…understand it. I don't understand it. We conducted large numbers of military strikes to smash the drug cartels and we brought the flow of deadly…
We conducted large numbers of military strikes to smash the drug cartels. And we brought the flow of deadly drugs coming in by ocean and…
To that end, the United States has carried out dozens of strikes on cartel drug boats, destroying 97% of the drugs coming into the ocean…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Strike”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Strike” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 25, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jun 25, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Strike” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Strike’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/strike (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=strike · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP