Will Donald Trump say “Patriot”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Patriot” at 10 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 28, 2025 (83%), most recently on Jul 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=12, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4.
- Last 10
- 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes yes yes no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Patriot
- Probability
- 53% · n=12
- Settled
- 10/12 (83%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 4 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Ashley Henson, on the other hand, is a mother, a warrior, a patriot, and she will never let far-left maniacs push the radical left insanity…
…we're going to elect a Republican House, a Republican Senate, America First Patriots up and down the line. We have them all standing right here.
…as they listen to those immortal words for the first time, the patriots could see across the waters of New York Harbor to a British…
Every settled listing
newest first · 12 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | Patriot |  Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Patriot | Polymarket | Yes | 4 |
| Jul 13, 2026 | Patriot | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Patriot | Polymarket | Yes | 13 |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Patriot | Polymarket | Yes | 9 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Patriot | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Patriot |  Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jul 3, 2025 | Patriot | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 25, 2025 | Patriot | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 25, 2025 | Patriot | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Patriot | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Patriot | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Patriot”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Patriot” at 10 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 28, 2025 (83%), most recently on Jul 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Patriot” next time?
- 53%, from settlement history (n=12). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Patriot’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/patriot (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=patriot · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP