Will Donald Trump say “Security”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Security” at 4 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 7, 2025 (36%), most recently on Jul 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=11, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5.
- Last 10
- 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no no yes no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Security
- Probability
- 48% · n=11
- Settled
- 4/11 (36%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 5 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…little and if you're if you're of average strength, the entire door collapses. Great security. And somehow I didn't want that. So I took the
…tax on tips, no tax on overtime, and no tax on social security. You don't have any seniors in this room for a great senior.…
…it before they get it. In August, I signed a historic national security memorandum unleashing the incredible talent, tools and resources of our private sector…
…the room very much. Thank you very much. You know, your your security, your law enforcement, your police are incredible. I judge places No, I…
…Medicare and Medicaid Services, Dr. Mehmet Oz. Thank you, Oz. and Homeland Security adviser Stephen Miller -- Stephen. As many of you know, Nick has…
Every settled listing
newest first · 11 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | Security |  Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | Security | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Security | Polymarket | No | – |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Security |  Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Security | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 27, 2025 | Security | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 25, 2025 | Security | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 25, 2025 | Security | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 16, 2025 | Security | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 5, 2025 | Security | Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 7, 2025 | Security | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Security”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Security” at 4 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 7, 2025 (36%), most recently on Jul 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Security” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=11). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Security’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/security (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=security · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP