# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · presser 2025-06-25 · 25 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25JUN25 · as_of 2026-10-25T07:51:45Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-06-25 · tn/th blank: no presser transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K, res no · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25JUN25 ({word} = w of K rows): If Trump says {word} as part of his Press Conference at the NATO summit originally scheduled for 9:00 AM ET in the World Forum, The Hague, Netherlands, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src
Biden	biden	29	22	0.76	YYYYYYYYnn	0.59	hist
Nuclear	nuclear	15	11	0.73	nYYYYYYYnY	0.57	hist
Ukraine	ukraine	10	8	0.8	YnYYYYYYYn	0.52	hist
Putin	putin	23	17	0.74	nYYYYYnnYn	0.51	hist
Russia	russia	18	12	0.67	YYYYYnnnYn	0.48	hist
Peace	peace	5	4	0.8	YnYYY	0.44	hist
Patriot	patriot	2	2	1	YY	0.42	hist
Iran	iran	13	6	0.46	YYnYnnYnnY	0.37	hist
War	war	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.35	hist
Dog	dog	4	2	0.5	YnYn	0.34	hist
Israel	israel	31	17	0.55	nnnnYnYnnY	0.33	hist
Defense	defense	5	1	0.2	nYnnn	0.32	hist
Deterrence	deterrence	1	0	0	n	0.31	hist
Dogecoin	dogecoin	1	0	0	n	0.31	hist
Alliance	alliance	0	0			0.31	hist
NATO	nato	13	3	0.23	nnYYnnnYnn	0.29	hist
Zelenskyy	zelenskyy	11	3	0.27	YnnnYnnnnn	0.28	hist
Security	security	3	0	0	nnn	0.25	hist
Ceasefire	ceasefire	9	1	0.11	nnnnYnnnn	0.24	hist
Article	article	0	0			0.33	prior
Bunker	bunker	0	0			0.33	prior
Ever	ever	0	0			0.33	prior
Obliterated	obliterated	0	0			0.33	prior
Spending	spending	0	0			0.33	prior
Strike	strike	0	0			0.33	prior