NASA

Business · Science & spaceOrganisationHistory onlyUpdated Oct 24, 2026, 21:40 UTC

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As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket have settled 256 word markets on NASA’s appearances since 2026, on 57 different words; most reliably said: “Houston” (15 of 15).

History Wall

1–40 of 58, most settled first · page 1 of 2

NASA: every word with settled markets, most settled first

Word	Apr 3conference	Apr 4conference	Apr 5conference	Apr 7conference	Apr 8conference	Apr 9conference	Apr 10conference	Apr 16conference	Jun 9remarks	Aug 14latest	Last 10	Settled	Probability
SpaceX	NSettled no: SpaceX, Apr 3 conference	NSettled no: SpaceX, Apr 4 conference	NSettled no: SpaceX, Apr 5 conference	NSettled no: SpaceX, Apr 7 conference	NSettled no: SpaceX, Apr 8 conference	NSettled no: SpaceX, Apr 9 conference	YSettled yes: SpaceX, Apr 10 conference	NSettled no: SpaceX, Apr 16 conference	YSettled yes: SpaceX, Jun 9 remarks	YSettled yes: SpaceX, Aug 14 conference	3/1030%	5/1631%	72%n=16 from settlement history
Houstonevery time	YSettled yes: Houston, Apr 3 conference	YSettled yes: Houston, Apr 4 conference	YSettled yes: Houston, Apr 5 conference	YSettled yes: Houston, Apr 7 conference	YSettled yes: Houston, Apr 8 conference	YSettled yes: Houston, Apr 9 conference	YSettled yes: Houston, Apr 10 conference	YSettled yes: Houston, Apr 16 conference	YSettled yes: Houston, Jun 9 remarks	–Not listed: Houston, Aug 14 conference	9/9100%	15/15100%	82%n=15 from settlement history
Weather	NSettled no: Weather, Apr 3 conference	YSettled yes: Weather, Apr 4 conference	NSettled no: Weather, Apr 5 conference	YSettled yes: Weather, Apr 7 conference	YSettled yes: Weather, Apr 8 conference	YSettled yes: Weather, Apr 9 conference	NSettled no: Weather, Apr 10 conference	NSettled no: Weather, Apr 16 conference	YSettled yes: Weather, Jun 9 remarks	–Not listed: Weather, Aug 14 conference	5/956%	7/1450%	71%n=14 from settlement history
Elon / Musknever said	NSettled no: Elon / Musk, Apr 3 conference	NSettled no: Elon / Musk, Apr 4 conference	NSettled no: Elon / Musk, Apr 5 conference	NSettled no: Elon / Musk, Apr 7 conference	NSettled no: Elon / Musk, Apr 8 conference	NSettled no: Elon / Musk, Apr 9 conference	NSettled no: Elon / Musk, Apr 10 conference	–Not listed: Elon / Musk, Apr 16 conference	–Not listed: Elon / Musk, Jun 9 remarks	NSettled no: Elon / Musk, Aug 14 conference	0/80%	0/140%	17%n=14 from settlement history
Troubleshoot / Troubleshooting	NSettled no: Troubleshoot / Troubleshooting, Apr 3 conference	YSettled yes: Troubleshoot / Troubleshooting, Apr 4 conference	NSettled no: Troubleshoot / Troubleshooting, Apr 5 conference	NSettled no: Troubleshoot / Troubleshooting, Apr 7 conference	NSettled no: Troubleshoot / Troubleshooting, Apr 8 conference	NSettled no: Troubleshoot / Troubleshooting, Apr 9 conference	NSettled no: Troubleshoot / Troubleshooting, Apr 10 conference	–Not listed: Troubleshoot / Troubleshooting, Apr 16 conference	–Not listed: Troubleshoot / Troubleshooting, Jun 9 remarks	–Not listed: Troubleshoot / Troubleshooting, Aug 14 conference	1/714%	2/1217%	16%n=12 from settlement history
Apollo	YSettled yes: Apollo, Apr 3 conference	YSettled yes: Apollo, Apr 4 conference	YSettled yes: Apollo, Apr 5 conference	YSettled yes: Apollo, Apr 7 conference	YSettled yes: Apollo, Apr 8 conference	YSettled yes: Apollo, Apr 9 conference	YSettled yes: Apollo, Apr 10 conference	–Not listed: Apollo, Apr 16 conference	–Not listed: Apollo, Jun 9 remarks	YSettled yes: Apollo, Aug 14 conference	8/8100%	10/1191%	82%n=11 from settlement history
Gravity	YSettled yes: Gravity, Apr 3 conference	NSettled no: Gravity, Apr 4 conference	YSettled yes: Gravity, Apr 5 conference	YSettled yes: Gravity, Apr 7 conference	YSettled yes: Gravity, Apr 8 conference	NSettled no: Gravity, Apr 9 conference	NSettled no: Gravity, Apr 10 conference	NSettled no: Gravity, Apr 16 conference	NSettled no: Gravity, Jun 9 remarks	–Not listed: Gravity, Aug 14 conference	4/944%	5/1050%	24%n=10 from settlement history
Oxygen	NSettled no: Oxygen, Apr 3 conference	NSettled no: Oxygen, Apr 4 conference	YSettled yes: Oxygen, Apr 5 conference	NSettled no: Oxygen, Apr 7 conference	NSettled no: Oxygen, Apr 8 conference	YSettled yes: Oxygen, Apr 9 conference	NSettled no: Oxygen, Apr 10 conference	NSettled no: Oxygen, Apr 16 conference	NSettled no: Oxygen, Jun 9 remarks	–Not listed: Oxygen, Aug 14 conference	2/922%	2/922%	22%n=9 from settlement history
Foodnever said	NSettled no: Food, Apr 3 conference	NSettled no: Food, Apr 4 conference	NSettled no: Food, Apr 5 conference	NSettled no: Food, Apr 7 conference	NSettled no: Food, Apr 8 conference	NSettled no: Food, Apr 9 conference	NSettled no: Food, Apr 10 conference	NSettled no: Food, Apr 16 conference	NSettled no: Food, Jun 9 remarks	–Not listed: Food, Aug 14 conference	0/90%	0/90%	18%n=9 from settlement history
Florida	–Not listed: Florida, Apr 3 conference	–Not listed: Florida, Apr 4 conference	–Not listed: Florida, Apr 5 conference	–Not listed: Florida, Apr 7 conference	–Not listed: Florida, Apr 8 conference	–Not listed: Florida, Apr 9 conference	–Not listed: Florida, Apr 10 conference	–Not listed: Florida, Apr 16 conference	YSettled yes: Florida, Jun 9 remarks	YSettled yes: Florida, Aug 14 conference	2/2100%	5/771%	74%n=7 from settlement history
Quarantine	NSettled no: Quarantine, Apr 3 conference	–Not listed: Quarantine, Apr 4 conference	–Not listed: Quarantine, Apr 5 conference	–Not listed: Quarantine, Apr 7 conference	–Not listed: Quarantine, Apr 8 conference	–Not listed: Quarantine, Apr 9 conference	–Not listed: Quarantine, Apr 10 conference	–Not listed: Quarantine, Apr 16 conference	–Not listed: Quarantine, Jun 9 remarks	–Not listed: Quarantine, Aug 14 conference	0/10%	5/771%	50%n=7 from settlement history
Radiation	–Not listed: Radiation, Apr 3 conference	NSettled no: Radiation, Apr 4 conference	YSettled yes: Radiation, Apr 5 conference	NSettled no: Radiation, Apr 7 conference	YSettled yes: Radiation, Apr 8 conference	NSettled no: Radiation, Apr 9 conference	NSettled no: Radiation, Apr 10 conference	–Not listed: Radiation, Apr 16 conference	–Not listed: Radiation, Jun 9 remarks	NSettled no: Radiation, Aug 14 conference	2/729%	2/729%	25%n=7 from settlement history
Preparation / Preparedevery time	–Not listed: Preparation / Prepared, Apr 3 conference	–Not listed: Preparation / Prepared, Apr 4 conference	–Not listed: Preparation / Prepared, Apr 5 conference	–Not listed: Preparation / Prepared, Apr 7 conference	–Not listed: Preparation / Prepared, Apr 8 conference	–Not listed: Preparation / Prepared, Apr 9 conference	–Not listed: Preparation / Prepared, Apr 10 conference	–Not listed: Preparation / Prepared, Apr 16 conference	–Not listed: Preparation / Prepared, Jun 9 remarks	–Not listed: Preparation / Prepared, Aug 14 conference	–	6/6100%	87%n=6 from settlement history
Toilet	YSettled yes: Toilet, Apr 3 conference	YSettled yes: Toilet, Apr 4 conference	–Not listed: Toilet, Apr 5 conference	–Not listed: Toilet, Apr 7 conference	–Not listed: Toilet, Apr 8 conference	NSettled no: Toilet, Apr 9 conference	NSettled no: Toilet, Apr 10 conference	YSettled yes: Toilet, Apr 16 conference	NSettled no: Toilet, Jun 9 remarks	–Not listed: Toilet, Aug 14 conference	3/650%	3/650%	28%n=6 from settlement history
Crater	–Not listed: Crater, Apr 3 conference	–Not listed: Crater, Apr 4 conference	–Not listed: Crater, Apr 5 conference	YSettled yes: Crater, Apr 7 conference	NSettled no: Crater, Apr 8 conference	NSettled no: Crater, Apr 9 conference	YSettled yes: Crater, Apr 10 conference	NSettled no: Crater, Apr 16 conference	NSettled no: Crater, Jun 9 remarks	–Not listed: Crater, Aug 14 conference	2/633%	2/633%	25%n=6 from settlement history
Damage	–Not listed: Damage, Apr 3 conference	YSettled yes: Damage, Apr 4 conference	NSettled no: Damage, Apr 5 conference	NSettled no: Damage, Apr 7 conference	YSettled yes: Damage, Apr 8 conference	NSettled no: Damage, Apr 9 conference	NSettled no: Damage, Apr 10 conference	–Not listed: Damage, Apr 16 conference	–Not listed: Damage, Jun 9 remarks	–Not listed: Damage, Aug 14 conference	2/633%	2/633%	30%n=6 from settlement history
Aliennever said	–Not listed: Alien, Apr 3 conference	–Not listed: Alien, Apr 4 conference	–Not listed: Alien, Apr 5 conference	NSettled no: Alien, Apr 7 conference	NSettled no: Alien, Apr 8 conference	NSettled no: Alien, Apr 9 conference	NSettled no: Alien, Apr 10 conference	NSettled no: Alien, Apr 16 conference	NSettled no: Alien, Jun 9 remarks	–Not listed: Alien, Aug 14 conference	0/60%	0/60%	19%n=6 from settlement history
Splashdown	–Not listed: Splashdown, Apr 3 conference	–Not listed: Splashdown, Apr 4 conference	–Not listed: Splashdown, Apr 5 conference	–Not listed: Splashdown, Apr 7 conference	YSettled yes: Splashdown, Apr 8 conference	YSettled yes: Splashdown, Apr 9 conference	YSettled yes: Splashdown, Apr 10 conference	NSettled no: Splashdown, Apr 16 conference	YSettled yes: Splashdown, Jun 9 remarks	–Not listed: Splashdown, Aug 14 conference	4/580%	4/580%	75%n=5 from settlement history
Mars	–Not listed: Mars, Apr 3 conference	–Not listed: Mars, Apr 4 conference	–Not listed: Mars, Apr 5 conference	–Not listed: Mars, Apr 7 conference	–Not listed: Mars, Apr 8 conference	–Not listed: Mars, Apr 9 conference	–Not listed: Mars, Apr 10 conference	NSettled no: Mars, Apr 16 conference	YSettled yes: Mars, Jun 9 remarks	YSettled yes: Mars, Aug 14 conference	2/367%	3/560%	75%n=5 from settlement history
Nuclear	–Not listed: Nuclear, Apr 3 conference	–Not listed: Nuclear, Apr 4 conference	–Not listed: Nuclear, Apr 5 conference	–Not listed: Nuclear, Apr 7 conference	NSettled no: Nuclear, Apr 8 conference	NSettled no: Nuclear, Apr 9 conference	–Not listed: Nuclear, Apr 10 conference	–Not listed: Nuclear, Apr 16 conference	–Not listed: Nuclear, Jun 9 remarks	YSettled yes: Nuclear, Aug 14 conference	1/333%	2/540%	70%n=5 from settlement history
Trump / President	–Not listed: Trump / President, Apr 3 conference	–Not listed: Trump / President, Apr 4 conference	–Not listed: Trump / President, Apr 5 conference	–Not listed: Trump / President, Apr 7 conference	–Not listed: Trump / President, Apr 8 conference	–Not listed: Trump / President, Apr 9 conference	–Not listed: Trump / President, Apr 10 conference	NSettled no: Trump / President, Apr 16 conference	YSettled yes: Trump / President, Jun 9 remarks	YSettled yes: Trump / President, Aug 14 conference	2/367%	2/540%	43%n=5 from settlement history
Safe / Safetyevery time	–Not listed: Safe / Safety, Apr 3 conference	–Not listed: Safe / Safety, Apr 4 conference	–Not listed: Safe / Safety, Apr 5 conference	–Not listed: Safe / Safety, Apr 7 conference	–Not listed: Safe / Safety, Apr 8 conference	–Not listed: Safe / Safety, Apr 9 conference	–Not listed: Safe / Safety, Apr 10 conference	–Not listed: Safe / Safety, Apr 16 conference	–Not listed: Safe / Safety, Jun 9 remarks	–Not listed: Safe / Safety, Aug 14 conference	–	4/4100%	83%n=4 from settlement history
San Diego	–Not listed: San Diego, Apr 3 conference	–Not listed: San Diego, Apr 4 conference	–Not listed: San Diego, Apr 5 conference	–Not listed: San Diego, Apr 7 conference	YSettled yes: San Diego, Apr 8 conference	YSettled yes: San Diego, Apr 9 conference	NSettled no: San Diego, Apr 10 conference	NSettled no: San Diego, Apr 16 conference	–Not listed: San Diego, Jun 9 remarks	–Not listed: San Diego, Aug 14 conference	2/450%	2/450%	40%n=4 from settlement history
Eclipse	–Not listed: Eclipse, Apr 3 conference	–Not listed: Eclipse, Apr 4 conference	–Not listed: Eclipse, Apr 5 conference	–Not listed: Eclipse, Apr 7 conference	NSettled no: Eclipse, Apr 8 conference	NSettled no: Eclipse, Apr 9 conference	YSettled yes: Eclipse, Apr 10 conference	NSettled no: Eclipse, Apr 16 conference	–Not listed: Eclipse, Jun 9 remarks	–Not listed: Eclipse, Aug 14 conference	1/425%	1/425%	32%n=4 from settlement history
Dragonnever said	–Not listed: Dragon, Apr 3 conference	–Not listed: Dragon, Apr 4 conference	–Not listed: Dragon, Apr 5 conference	–Not listed: Dragon, Apr 7 conference	–Not listed: Dragon, Apr 8 conference	–Not listed: Dragon, Apr 9 conference	–Not listed: Dragon, Apr 10 conference	–Not listed: Dragon, Apr 16 conference	–Not listed: Dragon, Jun 9 remarks	–Not listed: Dragon, Aug 14 conference	–	0/40%	13%n=4 from settlement history
Moon Base	–Not listed: Moon Base, Apr 3 conference	–Not listed: Moon Base, Apr 4 conference	–Not listed: Moon Base, Apr 5 conference	–Not listed: Moon Base, Apr 7 conference	–Not listed: Moon Base, Apr 8 conference	–Not listed: Moon Base, Apr 9 conference	–Not listed: Moon Base, Apr 10 conference	YSettled yes: Moon Base, Apr 16 conference	YSettled yes: Moon Base, Jun 9 remarks	YSettled yes: Moon Base, Aug 14 conference	3/3100%	3/3100%	81%n=3 from settlement history
Exercise	–Not listed: Exercise, Apr 3 conference	YSettled yes: Exercise, Apr 4 conference	YSettled yes: Exercise, Apr 5 conference	NSettled no: Exercise, Apr 7 conference	–Not listed: Exercise, Apr 8 conference	–Not listed: Exercise, Apr 9 conference	–Not listed: Exercise, Apr 10 conference	–Not listed: Exercise, Apr 16 conference	–Not listed: Exercise, Jun 9 remarks	–Not listed: Exercise, Aug 14 conference	2/367%	2/367%	53%n=3 from settlement history
Toilet3+ times	–Not listed: Toilet (3+ times), Apr 3 conference	–Not listed: Toilet (3+ times), Apr 4 conference	YSettled yes: Toilet (3+ times), Apr 5 conference	YSettled yes: Toilet (3+ times), Apr 7 conference	NSettled no: Toilet (3+ times), Apr 8 conference	–Not listed: Toilet (3+ times), Apr 9 conference	–Not listed: Toilet (3+ times), Apr 10 conference	–Not listed: Toilet (3+ times), Apr 16 conference	–Not listed: Toilet (3+ times), Jun 9 remarks	–Not listed: Toilet (3+ times), Aug 14 conference	2/367%	2/367%	53%n=3 from settlement history
Grace	–Not listed: Grace, Apr 3 conference	–Not listed: Grace, Apr 4 conference	–Not listed: Grace, Apr 5 conference	–Not listed: Grace, Apr 7 conference	–Not listed: Grace, Apr 8 conference	–Not listed: Grace, Apr 9 conference	–Not listed: Grace, Apr 10 conference	–Not listed: Grace, Apr 16 conference	–Not listed: Grace, Jun 9 remarks	–Not listed: Grace, Aug 14 conference	–	1/333%	32%n=3 from settlement history
Centaur	–Not listed: Centaur, Apr 3 conference	–Not listed: Centaur, Apr 4 conference	–Not listed: Centaur, Apr 5 conference	–Not listed: Centaur, Apr 7 conference	–Not listed: Centaur, Apr 8 conference	–Not listed: Centaur, Apr 9 conference	–Not listed: Centaur, Apr 10 conference	–Not listed: Centaur, Apr 16 conference	–Not listed: Centaur, Jun 9 remarks	–Not listed: Centaur, Aug 14 conference	–	0/30%	14%n=3 from settlement history
Epsilon	–Not listed: Epsilon, Apr 3 conference	–Not listed: Epsilon, Apr 4 conference	–Not listed: Epsilon, Apr 5 conference	–Not listed: Epsilon, Apr 7 conference	–Not listed: Epsilon, Apr 8 conference	–Not listed: Epsilon, Apr 9 conference	–Not listed: Epsilon, Apr 10 conference	–Not listed: Epsilon, Apr 16 conference	–Not listed: Epsilon, Jun 9 remarks	–Not listed: Epsilon, Aug 14 conference	–	0/30%	15%n=3 from settlement history
Exercise / Exercising	–Not listed: Exercise / Exercising, Apr 3 conference	–Not listed: Exercise / Exercising, Apr 4 conference	–Not listed: Exercise / Exercising, Apr 5 conference	–Not listed: Exercise / Exercising, Apr 7 conference	NSettled no: Exercise / Exercising, Apr 8 conference	NSettled no: Exercise / Exercising, Apr 9 conference	NSettled no: Exercise / Exercising, Apr 10 conference	–Not listed: Exercise / Exercising, Apr 16 conference	–Not listed: Exercise / Exercising, Jun 9 remarks	–Not listed: Exercise / Exercising, Aug 14 conference	0/30%	0/30%	14%n=3 from settlement history
Microsoft	NSettled no: Microsoft, Apr 3 conference	NSettled no: Microsoft, Apr 4 conference	NSettled no: Microsoft, Apr 5 conference	–Not listed: Microsoft, Apr 7 conference	–Not listed: Microsoft, Apr 8 conference	–Not listed: Microsoft, Apr 9 conference	–Not listed: Microsoft, Apr 10 conference	–Not listed: Microsoft, Apr 16 conference	–Not listed: Microsoft, Jun 9 remarks	–Not listed: Microsoft, Aug 14 conference	0/30%	0/30%	14%n=3 from settlement history
Artemis III	–Not listed: Artemis III, Apr 3 conference	–Not listed: Artemis III, Apr 4 conference	–Not listed: Artemis III, Apr 5 conference	–Not listed: Artemis III, Apr 7 conference	–Not listed: Artemis III, Apr 8 conference	–Not listed: Artemis III, Apr 9 conference	–Not listed: Artemis III, Apr 10 conference	–Not listed: Artemis III, Apr 16 conference	–Not listed: Artemis III, Jun 9 remarks	–Not listed: Artemis III, Aug 14 conference	–	2/2100%	77%n=2 from settlement history
Moon Base / Lunar Base	–Not listed: Moon Base / Lunar Base, Apr 3 conference	–Not listed: Moon Base / Lunar Base, Apr 4 conference	–Not listed: Moon Base / Lunar Base, Apr 5 conference	–Not listed: Moon Base / Lunar Base, Apr 7 conference	–Not listed: Moon Base / Lunar Base, Apr 8 conference	–Not listed: Moon Base / Lunar Base, Apr 9 conference	–Not listed: Moon Base / Lunar Base, Apr 10 conference	–Not listed: Moon Base / Lunar Base, Apr 16 conference	–Not listed: Moon Base / Lunar Base, Jun 9 remarks	–Not listed: Moon Base / Lunar Base, Aug 14 conference	–	2/2100%	77%n=2 from settlement history
Humidity	–Not listed: Humidity, Apr 3 conference	NSettled no: Humidity, Apr 4 conference	NSettled no: Humidity, Apr 5 conference	–Not listed: Humidity, Apr 7 conference	–Not listed: Humidity, Apr 8 conference	–Not listed: Humidity, Apr 9 conference	–Not listed: Humidity, Apr 10 conference	–Not listed: Humidity, Apr 16 conference	–Not listed: Humidity, Jun 9 remarks	–Not listed: Humidity, Aug 14 conference	0/20%	0/20%	17%n=2 from settlement history
Air Force	–Not listed: Air Force, Apr 3 conference	–Not listed: Air Force, Apr 4 conference	–Not listed: Air Force, Apr 5 conference	–Not listed: Air Force, Apr 7 conference	–Not listed: Air Force, Apr 8 conference	–Not listed: Air Force, Apr 9 conference	–Not listed: Air Force, Apr 10 conference	–Not listed: Air Force, Apr 16 conference	–Not listed: Air Force, Jun 9 remarks	YSettled yes: Air Force, Aug 14 conference	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Artemis	–Not listed: Artemis, Apr 3 conference	–Not listed: Artemis, Apr 4 conference	–Not listed: Artemis, Apr 5 conference	–Not listed: Artemis, Apr 7 conference	–Not listed: Artemis, Apr 8 conference	–Not listed: Artemis, Apr 9 conference	–Not listed: Artemis, Apr 10 conference	–Not listed: Artemis, Apr 16 conference	–Not listed: Artemis, Jun 9 remarks	YSettled yes: Artemis, Aug 14 conference	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Astronaut	–Not listed: Astronaut, Apr 3 conference	–Not listed: Astronaut, Apr 4 conference	–Not listed: Astronaut, Apr 5 conference	–Not listed: Astronaut, Apr 7 conference	–Not listed: Astronaut, Apr 8 conference	–Not listed: Astronaut, Apr 9 conference	–Not listed: Astronaut, Apr 10 conference	–Not listed: Astronaut, Apr 16 conference	–Not listed: Astronaut, Jun 9 remarks	YSettled yes: Astronaut, Aug 14 conference	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Blue Origin	–Not listed: Blue Origin, Apr 3 conference	–Not listed: Blue Origin, Apr 4 conference	–Not listed: Blue Origin, Apr 5 conference	–Not listed: Blue Origin, Apr 7 conference	–Not listed: Blue Origin, Apr 8 conference	–Not listed: Blue Origin, Apr 9 conference	–Not listed: Blue Origin, Apr 10 conference	–Not listed: Blue Origin, Apr 16 conference	YSettled yes: Blue Origin, Jun 9 remarks	–Not listed: Blue Origin, Aug 14 conference	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability

• Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
• N: settled no
• not listed
• probability next time, with n
• Select a word or a cell for its quotes

What the columns mean

Last N

of the appearances shown, how many counted as said

Settled

every settled market of the word: said / listed

Probability

the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

More words (18 left)

Citeparrot.markets, “NASA: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/nasa (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/nasa · words: /api/v1/history?entity=nasa · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP