Will NASA say “Gravity”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, NASA said “Gravity” at 5 of 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 31, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 8, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 24% (n=10, from settlement history), not a forecast.

24%from settlement history only · n=10counts: named speaker only
Last 10
5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes yes no no no no
Streak
not said the last 4 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

NASA

Gravity

Probability
24% · n=10
Settled
5/10 (50%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for NASA yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will NASA say during their press conference? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will NASA say during the Artemis III Announcement? · settled no

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What will the Artemis II Astronauts say during their press conference? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will NASA say during the Post-splashdown news conference? · settled no

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What will NASA say during the Artemis II press conference? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will NASA say during the Artemis II press conference? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will NASA say during the Artemis II news conference? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will NASA say during the Artemis II News Conference? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will NASA say during the ARTEMIS II Press Conference? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will NASA say during the ARTEMIS II Press Conference? · settled yes

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 10 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jun 9, 2026GravityKalshiNo
Apr 16, 2026GravityKalshiNo
Apr 10, 2026GravityKalshiNo
Apr 9, 2026GravityKalshiNo
Apr 8, 2026GravityKalshiYes
Apr 7, 2026GravityKalshiYes
Apr 5, 2026GravityKalshiYes
Apr 4, 2026GravityKalshiNo
Apr 3, 2026GravityKalshiYes
Jan 31, 2026GravityKalshiYes

Questions

How often does NASA say “Gravity”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, NASA said “Gravity” at 5 of 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 31, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 8, 2026.
What is the probability NASA says “Gravity” next time?
24%, from settlement history (n=10). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “NASA: ‘Gravity’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/nasa/words/gravity (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nasa&word=gravity · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nasa&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP