Will NASA say “Apollo”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, NASA said “Apollo” at 10 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 12, 2026 (91%), most recently on Aug 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 82% (n=11, from settlement history), not a forecast.

82%from settlement history only · n=11counts: named speaker only
Last 10
9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 8 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=nasa&word=apollo

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

NASA

Apollo

Probability
82% · n=11
Settled
10/11 (91%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for NASA yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will NASA say during their press conference? · settled yes

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What will NASA say during the Artemis III Announcement? · not listed

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What will the Artemis II Astronauts say during their press conference? · not listed

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What will NASA say during the Post-splashdown news conference? · settled yes

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What will NASA say during the Artemis II press conference? · settled yes

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What will NASA say during the Artemis II press conference? · settled yes

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What will NASA say during the Artemis II news conference? · settled yes

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What will NASA say during the Artemis II News Conference? · settled yes

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What will NASA say during the ARTEMIS II Press Conference? · settled yes

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What will NASA say during the ARTEMIS II Press Conference? · settled yes

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Every settled listing

newest first · 12 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Aug 14, 2026ApolloPolymarketYes
Aug 14, 2026ApolloKalshiYes
Apr 10, 2026ApolloKalshiYes
Apr 9, 2026ApolloKalshiYes
Apr 8, 2026ApolloKalshiYes
Apr 7, 2026ApolloKalshiYes
Apr 5, 2026ApolloKalshiYes
Apr 4, 2026ApolloKalshiYes
Apr 3, 2026ApolloKalshiYes
Mar 31, 2026ApolloKalshiNo
Mar 30, 2026ApolloKalshiYes
Mar 12, 2026ApolloKalshiYes

Questions

How often does NASA say “Apollo”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, NASA said “Apollo” at 10 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 12, 2026 (91%), most recently on Aug 14, 2026.
What is the probability NASA says “Apollo” next time?
82%, from settlement history (n=11). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “NASA: ‘Apollo’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/nasa/words/apollo (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nasa&word=apollo · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nasa&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP