Will NASA say “Preparation / Prepared”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, NASA said “Preparation / Prepared” at 6 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 31, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 31, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 87% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 6/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 6 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
NASA
Preparation / Prepared
- Probability
- 87% · n=6
- Settled
- 6/6 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for NASA yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Preparation / Prepared |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Preparation / Prepared | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 12, 2026 | Preparation / Prepared | Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Preparation / Prepared | Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Preparation / Prepared | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Preparation / Prepared | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does NASA say “Preparation / Prepared”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, NASA said “Preparation / Prepared” at 6 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 31, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 31, 2026.
- What is the probability NASA says “Preparation / Prepared” next time?
- 87%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “NASA: ‘Preparation / Prepared’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/nasa/words/preparation-or-prepared (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nasa&word=preparation%20%2F%20prepared · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nasa&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP