NASA: Remarks, Jun 9, 2026
Kalshi What will NASA say during the Artemis III Announcement?
Markets
17 words · 10 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | Yes | 68%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Florida | Yes | 53%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Moon Base | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Splashdown | Yes | 49%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Weather | Yes | 43%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Blue Origin | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Docking | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mars | Yes | 38%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| SpaceX | Yes | 32%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 28%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Toilet | No | 47%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Delay / Delayed | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gravity | No | 39%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Crater | No | 39%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Oxygen | No | 33%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Alien | No | 25%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Food | No | 23%n=8 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPERSONMENTION-26JUN09 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP