Will NASA say “Moon Base / Lunar Base”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, NASA said “Moon Base / Lunar Base” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 30, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 31, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 77% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
NASA
Moon Base / Lunar Base
- Probability
- 77% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for NASA yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Moon Base / Lunar Base |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Moon Base / Lunar Base | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does NASA say “Moon Base / Lunar Base”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, NASA said “Moon Base / Lunar Base” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 30, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 31, 2026.
- What is the probability NASA says “Moon Base / Lunar Base” next time?
- 77%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “NASA: ‘Moon Base / Lunar Base’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/nasa/words/lunar-base-or-moon-base (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nasa&word=lunar%20base%20%2F%20moon%20base · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nasa&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP