Will NASA say “Damage”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, NASA said “Damage” at 2 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 4, 2026 (33%), most recently on Apr 8, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 30% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
30%from settlement history only · n=6counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 2/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
NASA
Damage
- Probability
- 30% · n=6
- Settled
- 2/6 (33%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for NASA yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does NASA say “Damage”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, NASA said “Damage” at 2 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 4, 2026 (33%), most recently on Apr 8, 2026.
- What is the probability NASA says “Damage” next time?
- 30%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “NASA: ‘Damage’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/nasa/words/damage (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nasa&word=damage · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nasa&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP