Will NASA say “Elon / Musk”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, NASA did not say “Elon / Musk” at any of the 14 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 31, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 17% (n=14, from settlement history), not a forecast.

17%from settlement history only · n=14counts: anyone
Last 10
0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 10 times
Counts
anyone
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API

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GET /api/v1/word?entity=nasa&word=elon%20%2F%20musk

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

NASA

Elon / Musk

Probability
17% · n=14
Settled
0/14 (0%)

Next listing counts: anyone

We don’t have transcripts for NASA yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will NASA say during their press conference? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will NASA say during the Artemis III Announcement? · not listed

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What will the Artemis II Astronauts say during their press conference? · not listed

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What will NASA say during the Post-splashdown news conference? · settled no

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What will NASA say during the Artemis II press conference? · settled no

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What will NASA say during the Artemis II press conference? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will NASA say during the Artemis II news conference? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will NASA say during the Artemis II News Conference? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will NASA say during the ARTEMIS II Press Conference? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will NASA say during the ARTEMIS II Press Conference? · settled no

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 14 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Aug 14, 2026Elon / MuskPolymarketNo
Apr 10, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiNo
Apr 9, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiNo
Apr 8, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiNo
Apr 7, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiNo
Apr 5, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiNo
Apr 4, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiNo
Apr 3, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiNo
Mar 31, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiNo
Mar 30, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiNo
Mar 12, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiNo
Feb 21, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiNo
Feb 4, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiNo
Jan 31, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiNo

Questions

How often does NASA say “Elon / Musk”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, NASA did not say “Elon / Musk” at any of the 14 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 31, 2026.
What is the probability NASA says “Elon / Musk” next time?
17%, from settlement history (n=14). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “NASA: ‘Elon / Musk’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/nasa/words/elon-or-musk (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nasa&word=elon%20%2F%20musk · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nasa&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP