Will NASA say “Florida”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, NASA said “Florida” at 5 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 4, 2026 (71%), most recently on Aug 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 74% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.

74%from settlement history only · n=7counts: named speaker only
Last 10
5/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 5 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

NASA

Florida

Probability
74% · n=7
Settled
5/7 (71%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for NASA yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will NASA say during their press conference? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will NASA say during the Artemis III Announcement? · settled yes

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What will the Artemis II Astronauts say during their press conference? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will NASA say during the Post-splashdown news conference? · not listed

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What will NASA say during the Artemis II press conference? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will NASA say during the Artemis II press conference? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will NASA say during the Artemis II news conference? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will NASA say during the Artemis II News Conference? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will NASA say during the ARTEMIS II Press Conference? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will NASA say during the ARTEMIS II Press Conference? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 7 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Aug 14, 2026FloridaKalshiYes
Jun 9, 2026FloridaKalshiYes
Mar 31, 2026FloridaKalshiYes
Mar 30, 2026FloridaKalshiYes
Mar 12, 2026FloridaKalshiYes
Feb 21, 2026FloridaKalshiNo
Feb 4, 2026FloridaKalshiNo

Questions

How often does NASA say “Florida”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, NASA said “Florida” at 5 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 4, 2026 (71%), most recently on Aug 14, 2026.
What is the probability NASA says “Florida” next time?
74%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “NASA: ‘Florida’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/nasa/words/florida (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nasa&word=florida · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nasa&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP