Will NASA say “Nuclear”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, NASA said “Nuclear” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 30, 2026 (40%), most recently on Aug 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 70% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
70%from settlement history only · n=5counts: anyone
- Last 10
- 2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- anyone
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
NASA
Nuclear
- Probability
- 70% · n=5
- Settled
- 2/5 (40%)
Next listing counts: anyone
We don’t have transcripts for NASA yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How often does NASA say “Nuclear”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, NASA said “Nuclear” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 30, 2026 (40%), most recently on Aug 14, 2026.
- What is the probability NASA says “Nuclear” next time?
- 70%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “NASA: ‘Nuclear’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/nasa/words/nuclear (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nasa&word=nuclear · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nasa&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP