Will NASA say “Oxygen”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, NASA said “Oxygen” at 2 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 3, 2026 (22%), most recently on Apr 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 22% (n=9, from settlement history), not a forecast.
22%from settlement history only · n=9counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 2/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no no yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceNASA
Oxygen
- Probability
- 22% · n=9
- Settled
- 2/9 (22%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for NASA yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 9 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Oxygen | No | |
| Apr 16, 2026 | Oxygen | No | |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Oxygen | No | |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Oxygen | Yes | |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Oxygen | No | |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Oxygen | No | |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Oxygen | Yes | |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Oxygen | No | |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Oxygen | No |
Questions
- How often does NASA say “Oxygen”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, NASA said “Oxygen” at 2 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 3, 2026 (22%), most recently on Apr 9, 2026.
- What is the probability NASA says “Oxygen” next time?
- 22%, from settlement history (n=9). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “NASA: ‘Oxygen’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/nasa/words/oxygen (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nasa&word=oxygen · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nasa&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP