Will Donald Trump say “Million” 10+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Million” 10+ times at 10 of 17 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 21, 2024 (59%), most recently on Mar 4, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=17, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 keynotes we have transcripts for (Jun 26, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), it reached the market's count (10+, named speaker only) in 3. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 8, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no yes no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Million 10+ times
- Probability
- 40% · n=17
- Settled
- 10/17 (59%)
- Last 4 keynotes
- said in 3 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…most votes, more votes than ever gotten by any political candidate by millions. Millions and millions. Thank you. And I just look at this group…
…American history, the worst trade deficit in American history. They allowed 25 million people to pour across our borders from all over the world. It…
…more than 500 fraudulent websites, and coordinated with technology companies to disrupt millions and millions of online accounts used by foreign criminals. It sounds so…
…years ago, the worst trade deficit in American history. They allowed 25 million people to pour across our borders from all over the world. And
…the same 1 percent. So, if somebody turns somebody in for $1 million, but $1 million is very small potatoes, you get a 1 percent…
Every settled listing
newest first · 17 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | Million 10+ times |  Polymarket | No |
| Mar 20, 2025 | Million 10+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Million 10+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Million 10+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Million 10+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Million 10+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Oct 16, 2024 | Million 10+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Million 10+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Million 10+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Million 10+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Million 10+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Oct 3, 2024 | Million 10+times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Oct 1, 2024 | Million 10+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Million 10+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Million 10+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Sep 23, 2024 | Million 10+times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Million 10+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Million 10+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Million” 10+ times at 10 of 17 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 21, 2024 (59%), most recently on Mar 4, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Million 10+ times” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=17). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Million 10+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/million-10plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=million%20%2810%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP