Scott Bessent: Interview, Mar 7, 2026
Kalshi What will Scott Bessent say during his Fox Business interview?
Markets
14 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hormuz | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tariff | No | 65%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| China | No | 65%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 65%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| GDP | No | 60%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | No | 56%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Supreme Court | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trillion | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tax Cut | No | 36%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 32%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXBESSENTMTPMENTION-26MAR07 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP