Scott Bessent: Interview, Feb 14, 2026
Kalshi What will Scott Bessent say on Squawk Box?
Markets
12 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation | Yes | 67%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| China | Yes | 52%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kevin / Warsh | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| GDP | Yes | 41%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | Yes | 39%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tax Cut | Yes | 26%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 71%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXBESSENTMTPMENTION-26FEB14 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP