Scott Bessent: Episode, Mar 15, 2025
Kalshi What will Scott Bessent say during Meet the Press?
Markets
15 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| China | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Currency | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Energy | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Income tax | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tariff | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Canada | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Detox | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Federal Reserve | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Interest Rate | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Jerome / Powell | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mexico | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pain | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Stock market | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trade deficit | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Volatility | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXBESSENTMTPMENTION-25MAR15 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP