Scott Bessent: Press briefing, Jan 22, 2026
Kalshi What will Scott Bessent say during his Press Briefing?
Markets
15 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tariff | Yes | 68%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Inflation | Yes | 63%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | Yes | 59%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Fed | Yes | 52%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| National Security | Yes | 41%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Manufacturing | Yes | 34%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Middle Class | Yes | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| China | No | 58%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| GDP | No | 46%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | No | 42%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Innovation | No | 41%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Recession | No | 37%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Data Center | No | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency | No | 28%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Tax Cut | No | 27%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXBESSENTMTPMENTION-26JAN22 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP