Markwayne Mullin
As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi has settled 180 word markets on Markwayne Mullin’s appearances since 2026, on 46 different words; most reliably said: “Democrat” (10 of 11).
History Wall
1–40 of 48, most settled first · page 1 of 2| Word | May 12episode | May 18hearing | Jun 1conference | Jun 2hearing | Jun 3hearing | Jun 10episode | Jun 14episode | Jul 17conference | Aug 8episode | Sep 19latest | Last 10 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Security | Settled no: National Security, May 12 episode | Not listed: National Security, May 18 hearing | Settled no: National Security, Jun 1 conference | Settled no: National Security, Jun 2 hearing | Settled no: National Security, Jun 3 hearing | Settled no: National Security, Jun 10 episode | Settled no: National Security, Jun 14 episode | Settled yes: National Security, Jul 17 conference | Settled no: National Security, Aug 8 episode | Settled yes: National Security, Sep 19 interview | 2/922% | 2/1217% | 47%n=6 from settlement history |
| Democrat | Settled yes: Democrat, May 12 episode | Not listed: Democrat, May 18 hearing | Settled yes: Democrat, Jun 1 conference | Settled yes: Democrat, Jun 2 hearing | Settled yes: Democrat, Jun 3 hearing | Settled yes: Democrat, Jun 10 episode | Settled yes: Democrat, Jun 14 episode | Not listed: Democrat, Jul 17 conference | Settled no: Democrat, Aug 8 episode | Settled yes: Democrat, Sep 19 interview | 7/888% | 10/1191% | 71%n=5 from settlement history |
| Biden | Settled yes: Biden, May 12 episode | Not listed: Biden, May 18 hearing | Settled no: Biden, Jun 1 conference | Settled yes: Biden, Jun 2 hearing | Settled yes: Biden, Jun 3 hearing | Not listed: Biden, Jun 10 episode | Settled no: Biden, Jun 14 episode | Settled yes: Biden, Jul 17 conference | Settled yes: Biden, Aug 8 episode | Settled yes: Biden, Sep 19 interview | 6/875% | 7/978% | 66%n=6 from settlement history |
| Fentanyl | Not listed: Fentanyl, May 12 episode | Not listed: Fentanyl, May 18 hearing | Not listed: Fentanyl, Jun 1 conference | Settled no: Fentanyl, Jun 2 hearing | Settled yes: Fentanyl, Jun 3 hearing | Settled no: Fentanyl, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Fentanyl, Jun 14 episode | Not listed: Fentanyl, Jul 17 conference | Settled no: Fentanyl, Aug 8 episode | Settled no: Fentanyl, Sep 19 interview | 1/520% | 1/911% | 34%n=5 from settlement history |
| Border | Not listed: Border, May 12 episode | Not listed: Border, May 18 hearing | Settled no: Border, Jun 1 conference | Not listed: Border, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Border, Jun 3 hearing | Settled yes: Border, Jun 10 episode | Settled yes: Border, Jun 14 episode | Settled no: Border, Jul 17 conference | Not listed: Border, Aug 8 episode | Settled yes: Border, Sep 19 interview | 3/560% | 6/875% | 51%n=4 from settlement history |
| Fraud | Settled no: Fraud, May 12 episode | Not listed: Fraud, May 18 hearing | Not listed: Fraud, Jun 1 conference | Settled no: Fraud, Jun 2 hearing | Settled yes: Fraud, Jun 3 hearing | Not listed: Fraud, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Fraud, Jun 14 episode | Not listed: Fraud, Jul 17 conference | Settled no: Fraud, Aug 8 episode | Not listed: Fraud, Sep 19 interview | 1/425% | 1/812% | 39%n=4 from settlement history |
| Trump | Not listed: Trump, May 12 episode | Not listed: Trump, May 18 hearing | Not listed: Trump, Jun 1 conference | Not listed: Trump, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Trump, Jun 3 hearing | Settled yes: Trump, Jun 10 episode | Settled no: Trump, Jun 14 episode | Not listed: Trump, Jul 17 conference | Settled yes: Trump, Aug 8 episode | Settled yes: Trump, Sep 19 interview | 3/475% | 6/786% | 62%n=2 from settlement history |
| Deport / Deported / Deportation | Settled yes: Deport / Deported / Deportation, May 12 episode | Not listed: Deport / Deported / Deportation, May 18 hearing | Settled no: Deport / Deported / Deportation, Jun 1 conference | Not listed: Deport / Deported / Deportation, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Deport / Deported / Deportation, Jun 3 hearing | Settled no: Deport / Deported / Deportation, Jun 10 episode | Settled no: Deport / Deported / Deportation, Jun 14 episode | Settled yes: Deport / Deported / Deportation, Jul 17 conference | Settled no: Deport / Deported / Deportation, Aug 8 episode | Settled no: Deport / Deported / Deportation, Sep 19 interview | 2/729% | 2/729% | 40%n=3 from settlement history |
| Shutdown / Shut Downevery time | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, May 12 episode | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, May 18 hearing | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Jun 1 conference | Settled yes: Shutdown / Shut Down, Jun 2 hearing | Settled yes: Shutdown / Shut Down, Jun 3 hearing | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Jun 14 episode | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Jul 17 conference | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Aug 8 episode | Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Sep 19 interview | 2/2100% | 6/6100% | 68%n=4 from settlement history |
| Kristi / Noem | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, May 12 episode | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, May 18 hearing | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Jun 1 conference | Settled no: Kristi / Noem, Jun 2 hearing | Settled yes: Kristi / Noem, Jun 3 hearing | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Jun 14 episode | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Jul 17 conference | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Aug 8 episode | Not listed: Kristi / Noem, Sep 19 interview | 1/250% | 3/650% | 48%n=4 from settlement history |
| Sanctuary | Settled yes: Sanctuary, May 12 episode | Not listed: Sanctuary, May 18 hearing | Not listed: Sanctuary, Jun 1 conference | Not listed: Sanctuary, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Sanctuary, Jun 3 hearing | Settled yes: Sanctuary, Jun 10 episode | Settled yes: Sanctuary, Jun 14 episode | Settled no: Sanctuary, Jul 17 conference | Settled no: Sanctuary, Aug 8 episode | Settled no: Sanctuary, Sep 19 interview | 3/650% | 3/650% | 33%n=2 from settlement history |
| Election | Settled no: Election, May 12 episode | Not listed: Election, May 18 hearing | Not listed: Election, Jun 1 conference | Not listed: Election, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Election, Jun 3 hearing | Settled no: Election, Jun 10 episode | Settled no: Election, Jun 14 episode | Not listed: Election, Jul 17 conference | Settled no: Election, Aug 8 episode | Settled yes: Election, Sep 19 interview | 1/520% | 2/633% | 62%n=2 from settlement history |
| America Firstnever said | Not listed: America First, May 12 episode | Not listed: America First, May 18 hearing | Settled no: America First, Jun 1 conference | Settled no: America First, Jun 2 hearing | Settled no: America First, Jun 3 hearing | Not listed: America First, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: America First, Jun 14 episode | Settled no: America First, Jul 17 conference | Not listed: America First, Aug 8 episode | Not listed: America First, Sep 19 interview | 0/40% | 0/50% | 22%n=5 from settlement history |
| Crime / Criminalevery time | Settled yes: Crime / Criminal, May 12 episode | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, May 18 hearing | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Jun 1 conference | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Jun 3 hearing | Settled yes: Crime / Criminal, Jun 10 episode | Settled yes: Crime / Criminal, Jun 14 episode | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Jul 17 conference | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Aug 8 episode | Settled yes: Crime / Criminal, Sep 19 interview | 4/4100% | 4/4100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Deport / Deportation | Not listed: Deport / Deportation, May 12 episode | Not listed: Deport / Deportation, May 18 hearing | Not listed: Deport / Deportation, Jun 1 conference | Not listed: Deport / Deportation, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Deport / Deportation, Jun 3 hearing | Not listed: Deport / Deportation, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Deport / Deportation, Jun 14 episode | Not listed: Deport / Deportation, Jul 17 conference | Not listed: Deport / Deportation, Aug 8 episode | Not listed: Deport / Deportation, Sep 19 interview | – | 3/475% | 56%n=2 from settlement history |
| China | Not listed: China, May 12 episode | Not listed: China, May 18 hearing | Not listed: China, Jun 1 conference | Not listed: China, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: China, Jun 3 hearing | Not listed: China, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: China, Jun 14 episode | Not listed: China, Jul 17 conference | Not listed: China, Aug 8 episode | Not listed: China, Sep 19 interview | – | 1/425% | 42%n=2 from settlement history |
| China / Chinese | Not listed: China / Chinese, May 12 episode | Not listed: China / Chinese, May 18 hearing | Not listed: China / Chinese, Jun 1 conference | Settled no: China / Chinese, Jun 2 hearing | Settled yes: China / Chinese, Jun 3 hearing | Not listed: China / Chinese, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: China / Chinese, Jun 14 episode | Settled no: China / Chinese, Jul 17 conference | Settled no: China / Chinese, Aug 8 episode | Not listed: China / Chinese, Sep 19 interview | 1/425% | 1/425% | 37%n=3 from settlement history |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, May 12 episode | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, May 18 hearing | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jun 1 conference | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jun 3 hearing | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jun 14 episode | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jul 17 conference | Settled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Aug 8 episode | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Sep 19 interview | 0/10% | 1/425% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Mask / Masked | Not listed: Mask / Masked, May 12 episode | Not listed: Mask / Masked, May 18 hearing | Settled no: Mask / Masked, Jun 1 conference | Settled no: Mask / Masked, Jun 2 hearing | Settled yes: Mask / Masked, Jun 3 hearing | Not listed: Mask / Masked, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Mask / Masked, Jun 14 episode | Not listed: Mask / Masked, Jul 17 conference | Not listed: Mask / Masked, Aug 8 episode | Not listed: Mask / Masked, Sep 19 interview | 1/333% | 1/425% | 38%n=4 from settlement history |
| Illegal Aliennever said | Settled no: Illegal Alien, May 12 episode | Not listed: Illegal Alien, May 18 hearing | Settled no: Illegal Alien, Jun 1 conference | Settled no: Illegal Alien, Jun 2 hearing | Settled no: Illegal Alien, Jun 3 hearing | Not listed: Illegal Alien, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Illegal Alien, Jun 14 episode | Not listed: Illegal Alien, Jul 17 conference | Not listed: Illegal Alien, Aug 8 episode | Not listed: Illegal Alien, Sep 19 interview | 0/40% | 0/40% | 28%n=3 from settlement history |
| Irannever said | Not listed: Iran, May 12 episode | Not listed: Iran, May 18 hearing | Not listed: Iran, Jun 1 conference | Not listed: Iran, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Iran, Jun 3 hearing | Not listed: Iran, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Iran, Jun 14 episode | Not listed: Iran, Jul 17 conference | Not listed: Iran, Aug 8 episode | Not listed: Iran, Sep 19 interview | – | 0/40% | 32%n=2 from settlement history |
| ICE / DHS | Settled yes: ICE / DHS, May 12 episode | Not listed: ICE / DHS, May 18 hearing | Not listed: ICE / DHS, Jun 1 conference | Not listed: ICE / DHS, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: ICE / DHS, Jun 3 hearing | Settled yes: ICE / DHS, Jun 10 episode | Settled yes: ICE / DHS, Jun 14 episode | Not listed: ICE / DHS, Jul 17 conference | Not listed: ICE / DHS, Aug 8 episode | Not listed: ICE / DHS, Sep 19 interview | 3/3100% | 3/3100% | – |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, May 12 episode | Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, May 18 hearing | Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Jun 1 conference | Settled yes: Terrorist / Terrorism, Jun 2 hearing | Settled yes: Terrorist / Terrorism, Jun 3 hearing | Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Jun 14 episode | Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Jul 17 conference | Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Aug 8 episode | Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Sep 19 interview | 2/2100% | 2/367% | 55%n=3 from settlement history |
| FEMA | Not listed: FEMA, May 12 episode | Not listed: FEMA, May 18 hearing | Not listed: FEMA, Jun 1 conference | Not listed: FEMA, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: FEMA, Jun 3 hearing | Not listed: FEMA, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: FEMA, Jun 14 episode | Not listed: FEMA, Jul 17 conference | Not listed: FEMA, Aug 8 episode | Not listed: FEMA, Sep 19 interview | – | 1/333% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| TSA | Not listed: TSA, May 12 episode | Not listed: TSA, May 18 hearing | Not listed: TSA, Jun 1 conference | Not listed: TSA, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: TSA, Jun 3 hearing | Not listed: TSA, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: TSA, Jun 14 episode | Not listed: TSA, Jul 17 conference | Not listed: TSA, Aug 8 episode | Not listed: TSA, Sep 19 interview | – | 1/333% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Iran / Iranian | Settled no: Iran / Iranian, May 12 episode | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, May 18 hearing | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Jun 1 conference | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Jun 3 hearing | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Jun 14 episode | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Jul 17 conference | Settled no: Iran / Iranian, Aug 8 episode | Settled no: Iran / Iranian, Sep 19 interview | 0/30% | 0/30% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Somali / Somalia / Somalian | Not listed: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, May 12 episode | Not listed: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, May 18 hearing | Not listed: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Jun 1 conference | Settled no: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Jun 2 hearing | Settled no: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Jun 3 hearing | Not listed: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Jun 14 episode | Not listed: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Jul 17 conference | Not listed: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Aug 8 episode | Not listed: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Sep 19 interview | 0/20% | 0/30% | 28%n=3 from settlement history |
| New Jersey | Not listed: New Jersey, May 12 episode | Not listed: New Jersey, May 18 hearing | Not listed: New Jersey, Jun 1 conference | Not listed: New Jersey, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: New Jersey, Jun 3 hearing | Settled yes: New Jersey, Jun 10 episode | Settled yes: New Jersey, Jun 14 episode | Not listed: New Jersey, Jul 17 conference | Not listed: New Jersey, Aug 8 episode | Not listed: New Jersey, Sep 19 interview | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | – |
| Trump5+ times | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), May 12 episode | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), May 18 hearing | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Jun 1 conference | Settled yes: Trump (5+ times), Jun 2 hearing | Settled yes: Trump (5+ times), Jun 3 hearing | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Jun 14 episode | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Jul 17 conference | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Aug 8 episode | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Sep 19 interview | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | 61%n=2 from settlement history |
| Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, May 12 episode | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, May 18 hearing | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Jun 1 conference | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Jun 3 hearing | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Jun 14 episode | Settled no: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Jul 17 conference | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Aug 8 episode | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Sep 19 interview | 0/10% | 1/250% | 40%n=2 from settlement history |
| Immigrant / Immigration | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, May 12 episode | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, May 18 hearing | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Jun 1 conference | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Jun 3 hearing | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Jun 14 episode | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Jul 17 conference | Settled no: Immigrant / Immigration, Aug 8 episode | Settled yes: Immigrant / Immigration, Sep 19 interview | 1/250% | 1/250% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Trump3+ times | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), May 12 episode | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), May 18 hearing | Settled no: Trump (3+ times), Jun 1 conference | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Jun 3 hearing | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Jun 14 episode | Settled yes: Trump (3+ times), Jul 17 conference | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Aug 8 episode | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Sep 19 interview | 1/250% | 1/250% | 46%n=2 from settlement history |
| Body Cam / Body Camera | Not listed: Body Cam / Body Camera, May 12 episode | Not listed: Body Cam / Body Camera, May 18 hearing | Not listed: Body Cam / Body Camera, Jun 1 conference | Settled no: Body Cam / Body Camera, Jun 2 hearing | Settled no: Body Cam / Body Camera, Jun 3 hearing | Not listed: Body Cam / Body Camera, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Body Cam / Body Camera, Jun 14 episode | Not listed: Body Cam / Body Camera, Jul 17 conference | Not listed: Body Cam / Body Camera, Aug 8 episode | Not listed: Body Cam / Body Camera, Sep 19 interview | 0/20% | 0/20% | 31%n=2 from settlement history |
| Mexico / Mexican | Not listed: Mexico / Mexican, May 12 episode | Not listed: Mexico / Mexican, May 18 hearing | Settled no: Mexico / Mexican, Jun 1 conference | Not listed: Mexico / Mexican, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Mexico / Mexican, Jun 3 hearing | Not listed: Mexico / Mexican, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Mexico / Mexican, Jun 14 episode | Not listed: Mexico / Mexican, Jul 17 conference | Not listed: Mexico / Mexican, Aug 8 episode | Not listed: Mexico / Mexican, Sep 19 interview | 0/10% | 0/20% | 31%n=2 from settlement history |
| Minnesota / Minneapolis | Not listed: Minnesota / Minneapolis, May 12 episode | Not listed: Minnesota / Minneapolis, May 18 hearing | Settled no: Minnesota / Minneapolis, Jun 1 conference | Not listed: Minnesota / Minneapolis, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Minnesota / Minneapolis, Jun 3 hearing | Not listed: Minnesota / Minneapolis, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Minnesota / Minneapolis, Jun 14 episode | Not listed: Minnesota / Minneapolis, Jul 17 conference | Not listed: Minnesota / Minneapolis, Aug 8 episode | Not listed: Minnesota / Minneapolis, Sep 19 interview | 0/10% | 0/20% | 31%n=2 from settlement history |
| World Cup | Not listed: World Cup, May 12 episode | Not listed: World Cup, May 18 hearing | Not listed: World Cup, Jun 1 conference | Not listed: World Cup, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: World Cup, Jun 3 hearing | Settled no: World Cup, Jun 10 episode | Settled no: World Cup, Jun 14 episode | Not listed: World Cup, Jul 17 conference | Not listed: World Cup, Aug 8 episode | Not listed: World Cup, Sep 19 interview | 0/20% | 0/20% | – |
| California | Not listed: California, May 12 episode | Not listed: California, May 18 hearing | Not listed: California, Jun 1 conference | Not listed: California, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: California, Jun 3 hearing | Not listed: California, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: California, Jun 14 episode | Settled yes: California, Jul 17 conference | Not listed: California, Aug 8 episode | Not listed: California, Sep 19 interview | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Georgia | Not listed: Georgia, May 12 episode | Not listed: Georgia, May 18 hearing | Not listed: Georgia, Jun 1 conference | Not listed: Georgia, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Georgia, Jun 3 hearing | Not listed: Georgia, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Georgia, Jun 14 episode | Settled yes: Georgia, Jul 17 conference | Not listed: Georgia, Aug 8 episode | Not listed: Georgia, Sep 19 interview | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| ID / Identification | Not listed: ID / Identification, May 12 episode | Not listed: ID / Identification, May 18 hearing | Not listed: ID / Identification, Jun 1 conference | Not listed: ID / Identification, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: ID / Identification, Jun 3 hearing | Not listed: ID / Identification, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: ID / Identification, Jun 14 episode | Settled yes: ID / Identification, Jul 17 conference | Not listed: ID / Identification, Aug 8 episode | Not listed: ID / Identification, Sep 19 interview | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Pennsylvania | Not listed: Pennsylvania, May 12 episode | Not listed: Pennsylvania, May 18 hearing | Not listed: Pennsylvania, Jun 1 conference | Not listed: Pennsylvania, Jun 2 hearing | Not listed: Pennsylvania, Jun 3 hearing | Not listed: Pennsylvania, Jun 10 episode | Not listed: Pennsylvania, Jun 14 episode | Settled yes: Pennsylvania, Jul 17 conference | Not listed: Pennsylvania, Aug 8 episode | Not listed: Pennsylvania, Sep 19 interview | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | InterviewWhat will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News: Saturday in America? | no transcript | 14 | 8 yes · 6 no | – |
| Aug 8, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump? | no transcript | 15 | 2 yes · 13 no | – |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Press conferenceWhat will Markwayne Mullin say during his election security press conference? | no transcript | 16 | 8 yes · 8 no | – |
| Jun 14, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News Sunday? | no transcript | 13 | 6 yes · 7 no | – |
| Jun 10, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News: America Reports? | no transcript | 13 | 7 yes · 6 no | – |
| Jun 3, 2026 | HearingWhat will Markwayne Mullin say during the DHS Budget Hearing (June 3)? | no transcript | 16 | 10 yes · 6 no | – |
| Jun 2, 2026 | HearingWhat will Markwayne Mullin say during the DHS Budget Hearing? | no transcript | 16 | 5 yes · 11 no | – |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Press conferenceWhat will Markwayne Mullin say during his press conference? | no transcript | 14 | 2 yes · 12 no | – |
| May 18, 2026 | HearingWhat will Markwayne Mullin say during the Oversight Hearing on Homeland Security? | no transcript | 17 | 1 yes · 16 no | – |
| May 12, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Markwayne Mullin say during his Fox News interview? | no transcript | 12 | 6 yes · 6 no | – |
| May 3, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News Sunday? | no transcript | 15 | 6 yes · 9 no | – |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Press conferenceWhat will Markwayne Mullin say during his press conference? | no transcript | 15 | 6 yes · 9 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Markwayne Mullin: mention market word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/markwayne-mullin (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/markwayne-mullin · words: /api/v1/history?entity=markwayne-mullin · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP