Will Markwayne Mullin say “America First”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Markwayne Mullin did not say “America First” at any of the 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 23% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 5 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Markwayne Mullin
America First
- Probability
- 23% · n=5
- Settled
- 0/5 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Markwayne Mullin yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | America First |  Kalshi | No |
| Jun 3, 2026 | America First | Kalshi | No |
| Jun 2, 2026 | America First | Kalshi | No |
| Jun 1, 2026 | America First | Kalshi | No |
| May 18, 2026 | America First | Kalshi | Void (did not qualify) |
| Mar 18, 2026 | America First | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Markwayne Mullin say “America First”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Markwayne Mullin did not say “America First” at any of the 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 18, 2026.
- What is the probability Markwayne Mullin says “America First” next time?
- 23%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Markwayne Mullin: ‘America First’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/markwayne-mullin/words/america-first (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=markwayne-mullin&word=america%20first · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=markwayne-mullin&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP