Will Markwayne Mullin say “Border”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Markwayne Mullin said “Border” at 6 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 6, 2026 (75%), most recently on Sep 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 51% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 6/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no yes yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Markwayne Mullin
Border
- Probability
- 51% · n=8
- Settled
- 6/8 (75%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Markwayne Mullin yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 9 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Border |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Border | Kalshi | No |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Border | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Border | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Border | Kalshi | No |
| May 18, 2026 | Border | Kalshi | Void (did not qualify) |
| May 3, 2026 | Border | Kalshi | Yes |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Border | Kalshi | Yes |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Border | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Markwayne Mullin say “Border”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Markwayne Mullin said “Border” at 6 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 6, 2026 (75%), most recently on Sep 19, 2026.
- What is the probability Markwayne Mullin says “Border” next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Markwayne Mullin: ‘Border’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/markwayne-mullin/words/border (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=markwayne-mullin&word=border · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=markwayne-mullin&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP