Will Markwayne Mullin say “Biden”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Markwayne Mullin said “Biden” at 7 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 18, 2026 (78%), most recently on Sep 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 66% (n=9, from settlement history), not a forecast.

66%from settlement history only · n=9counts: named speaker only
Last 10
7/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes no yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=markwayne-mullin&word=biden

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Markwayne Mullin

Biden

Probability
66% · n=9
Settled
7/9 (78%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Markwayne Mullin yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · settled yes

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump? · settled yes

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during his election security press conference? · settled yes

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News Sunday? · settled no

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News: America Reports? · not listed

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during the DHS Budget Hearing (June 3)? · settled yes

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during the DHS Budget Hearing? · settled yes

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during his press conference? · settled no

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during the Oversight Hearing on Homeland Security? · not listed

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during his Fox News interview? · settled yes

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Every settled listing

newest first · 10 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Sep 19, 2026BidenKalshiYes
Aug 8, 2026BidenKalshiYes
Jul 17, 2026BidenKalshiYes
Jun 14, 2026BidenKalshiNo
Jun 3, 2026BidenKalshiYes
Jun 2, 2026BidenKalshiYes
Jun 1, 2026BidenKalshiNo
May 18, 2026BidenKalshiVoid (did not qualify)
May 12, 2026BidenKalshiYes
Mar 18, 2026BidenKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Markwayne Mullin say “Biden”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Markwayne Mullin said “Biden” at 7 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 18, 2026 (78%), most recently on Sep 19, 2026.
What is the probability Markwayne Mullin says “Biden” next time?
66%, from settlement history (n=9). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Markwayne Mullin: ‘Biden’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/markwayne-mullin/words/biden (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=markwayne-mullin&word=biden · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=markwayne-mullin&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP