Will Markwayne Mullin say “China / Chinese”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Markwayne Mullin said “China / Chinese” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 2, 2026 (25%), most recently on Jun 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 37% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Markwayne Mullin
China / Chinese
- Probability
- 37% · n=4
- Settled
- 1/4 (25%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Markwayne Mullin yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | China / Chinese |  Kalshi | No |
| Jul 17, 2026 | China / Chinese | Kalshi | No |
| Jun 3, 2026 | China / Chinese | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jun 2, 2026 | China / Chinese | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Markwayne Mullin say “China / Chinese”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Markwayne Mullin said “China / Chinese” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 2, 2026 (25%), most recently on Jun 3, 2026.
- What is the probability Markwayne Mullin says “China / Chinese” next time?
- 37%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Markwayne Mullin: ‘China / Chinese’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/markwayne-mullin/words/china-or-chinese (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=markwayne-mullin&word=china%20%2F%20chinese · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=markwayne-mullin&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP