Will Markwayne Mullin say “FEMA”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Markwayne Mullin said “FEMA” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 6, 2026 (33%), most recently on Apr 7, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 51% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

51%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Markwayne Mullin

FEMA

Probability
51% · n=3
Settled
1/3 (33%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Markwayne Mullin yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · not listed

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump? · not listed

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during his election security press conference? · not listed

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News Sunday? · not listed

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News: America Reports? · not listed

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during the DHS Budget Hearing (June 3)? · not listed

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during the DHS Budget Hearing? · not listed

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during his press conference? · not listed

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during the Oversight Hearing on Homeland Security? · not listed

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during his Fox News interview? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
May 3, 2026FEMAKalshiNo
Apr 7, 2026FEMAKalshiYes
Apr 6, 2026FEMAKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Markwayne Mullin say “FEMA”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Markwayne Mullin said “FEMA” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 6, 2026 (33%), most recently on Apr 7, 2026.
What is the probability Markwayne Mullin says “FEMA” next time?
51%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Markwayne Mullin: ‘FEMA’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/markwayne-mullin/words/fema (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=markwayne-mullin&word=fema · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=markwayne-mullin&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP