Will Markwayne Mullin say “Deport / Deported / Deportation”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Markwayne Mullin said “Deport / Deported / Deportation” at 2 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 12, 2026 (29%), most recently on Jul 17, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.

40%from settlement history only · n=7counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Markwayne Mullin

Deport / Deported / Deportation

Probability
40% · n=7
Settled
2/7 (29%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Markwayne Mullin yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · settled no

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump? · settled no

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during his election security press conference? · settled yes

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News Sunday? · settled no

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News: America Reports? · settled no

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during the DHS Budget Hearing (June 3)? · not listed

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during the DHS Budget Hearing? · not listed

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during his press conference? · settled no

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during the Oversight Hearing on Homeland Security? · not listed

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during his Fox News interview? · settled yes

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 7 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Sep 19, 2026Deport / Deported / DeportationKalshiNo
Aug 8, 2026Deport / Deported / DeportationKalshiNo
Jul 17, 2026Deport / Deported / DeportationKalshiYes
Jun 14, 2026Deport / Deported / DeportationKalshiNo
Jun 10, 2026Deport / Deported / DeportationKalshiNo
Jun 1, 2026Deport / Deported / DeportationKalshiNo
May 12, 2026Deport / Deported / DeportationKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Markwayne Mullin say “Deport / Deported / Deportation”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Markwayne Mullin said “Deport / Deported / Deportation” at 2 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 12, 2026 (29%), most recently on Jul 17, 2026.
What is the probability Markwayne Mullin says “Deport / Deported / Deportation” next time?
40%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Markwayne Mullin: ‘Deport / Deported / Deportation’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/markwayne-mullin/words/deport-or-deportation-or-deported (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=markwayne-mullin&word=deport%20%2F%20deportation%20%2F%20deported · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=markwayne-mullin&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP