What is the probability Markwayne Mullin says “Deport / Deportation” next time?

56%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Markwayne Mullin say “Deport / Deportation”?

Name: Markwayne Mullin: “Deport / Deportation” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Markwayne Mullin said “Deport / Deportation” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 18, 2026 (75%), most recently on Apr 7, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 56% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

56%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no
Streak: not said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 02:21 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Markwayne Mullin

Deport / Deportation

Probability: 56% · n=4
Settled: 3/4 (75%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Markwayne Mullin yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · not listed

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump? · not listed

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during his election security press conference? · not listed

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News Sunday? · not listed

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News: America Reports? · not listed

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during the DHS Budget Hearing (June 3)? · not listed

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during the DHS Budget Hearing? · not listed

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during his press conference? · not listed

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during the Oversight Hearing on Homeland Security? · not listed

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during his Fox News interview? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
May 18, 2026	Deport / Deportation	Kalshi	Void (did not qualify)
May 3, 2026	Deport / Deportation	Kalshi	No
Apr 7, 2026	Deport / Deportation	Kalshi	Yes
Apr 6, 2026	Deport / Deportation	Kalshi	Yes
Mar 18, 2026	Deport / Deportation	Kalshi	Yes

Questions

How often does Markwayne Mullin say “Deport / Deportation”?: As of Oct 24, 2026, Markwayne Mullin said “Deport / Deportation” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 18, 2026 (75%), most recently on Apr 7, 2026.
What is the probability Markwayne Mullin says “Deport / Deportation” next time?: 56%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Markwayne Mullin: ‘Deport / Deportation’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/markwayne-mullin/words/deport-or-deportation (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=markwayne-mullin&word=deport%20%2F%20deportation · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=markwayne-mullin&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP