Will Markwayne Mullin say “National Security”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Markwayne Mullin said “National Security” at 2 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 6, 2026 (17%), most recently on Sep 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=12, from settlement history), not a forecast.

47%from settlement history only · n=12counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no yes no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=markwayne-mullin&word=national%20security

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Markwayne Mullin

National Security

Probability
47% · n=12
Settled
2/12 (17%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Markwayne Mullin yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · settled yes

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump? · settled no

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during his election security press conference? · settled yes

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News Sunday? · settled no

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News: America Reports? · settled no

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during the DHS Budget Hearing (June 3)? · settled no

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during the DHS Budget Hearing? · settled no

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during his press conference? · settled no

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during the Oversight Hearing on Homeland Security? · not listed

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What will Markwayne Mullin say during his Fox News interview? · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 13 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Sep 19, 2026National SecurityKalshiYes
Aug 8, 2026National SecurityKalshiNo
Jul 17, 2026National SecurityKalshiYes
Jun 14, 2026National SecurityKalshiNo
Jun 10, 2026National SecurityKalshiNo
Jun 3, 2026National SecurityKalshiNo
Jun 2, 2026National SecurityKalshiNo
Jun 1, 2026National SecurityKalshiNo
May 18, 2026National SecurityKalshiVoid (did not qualify)
May 12, 2026National SecurityKalshiNo
May 3, 2026National SecurityKalshiNo
Apr 7, 2026National SecurityKalshiNo
Apr 6, 2026National SecurityKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Markwayne Mullin say “National Security”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Markwayne Mullin said “National Security” at 2 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 6, 2026 (17%), most recently on Sep 19, 2026.
What is the probability Markwayne Mullin says “National Security” next time?
47%, from settlement history (n=12). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Markwayne Mullin: ‘National Security’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/markwayne-mullin/words/national-security (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=markwayne-mullin&word=national%20security · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=markwayne-mullin&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP