Will Markwayne Mullin say “Shutdown / Shut Down”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Markwayne Mullin said “Shutdown / Shut Down” at 6 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 18, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 68% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 6/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 6 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Markwayne Mullin
Shutdown / Shut Down
- Probability
- 68% · n=6
- Settled
- 6/6 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Markwayne Mullin yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 3, 2026 | Shutdown / Shut Down |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Shutdown / Shut Down | Kalshi | Yes |
| May 18, 2026 | Shutdown / Shut Down | Kalshi | Void (did not qualify) |
| May 3, 2026 | Shutdown / Shut Down | Kalshi | Yes |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Shutdown / Shut Down | Kalshi | Yes |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Shutdown / Shut Down | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Shutdown / Shut Down | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Markwayne Mullin say “Shutdown / Shut Down”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Markwayne Mullin said “Shutdown / Shut Down” at 6 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 18, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 3, 2026.
- What is the probability Markwayne Mullin says “Shutdown / Shut Down” next time?
- 68%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Markwayne Mullin: ‘Shutdown / Shut Down’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/markwayne-mullin/words/shut-down-or-shutdown (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=markwayne-mullin&word=shut%20down%20%2F%20shutdown · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=markwayne-mullin&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP