Will Kathy Hochul say “Billion”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Billion” at 11 of 16 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 9, 2026 (69%), most recently on Mar 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 66% (n=16, from settlement history), not a forecast.
66%from settlement history only · n=16counts: anyone
- Last 10
- 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no yes yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 6 times
- Counts
- anyone
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Kathy Hochul
Billion
- Probability
- 66% · n=16
- Settled
- 11/16 (69%)
Next listing counts: anyone
We don’t have transcripts for Kathy Hochul yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 16 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Billion |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Billion | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Billion | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Billion | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Billion | Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Billion | Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Billion | Kalshi | No |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Billion | Kalshi | No |
| Feb 17, 2026 | Billion | Kalshi | No |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Billion | Kalshi | No |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Billion | Kalshi | No |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Billion | Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Billion | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Billion | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Billion | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Billion | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Kathy Hochul say “Billion”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Kathy Hochul said “Billion” at 11 of 16 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 9, 2026 (69%), most recently on Mar 9, 2026.
- What is the probability Kathy Hochul says “Billion” next time?
- 66%, from settlement history (n=16). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “Kathy Hochul: ‘Billion’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/kathy-hochul/words/billion (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=kathy-hochul&word=billion · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=kathy-hochul&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP