Will “Epstein” be said on The Last Word next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Epstein” was said on The Last Word in 13 of 22 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 13, 2026 (59%), most recently on Aug 11, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=22, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 30, 2026 – Oct 22, 2026), 2 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.

41%from settlement history only · n=22counts: named speaker only
Last 10
6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes no no yes yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=the-last-word&word=epstein

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell

Epstein

Probability
41% · n=22
Settled
13/22 (59%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 0 of 2 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Josh Turek say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Raphael Warnock say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Josh Turek say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Cory Booker say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Sherrod Brown say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not said

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What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Mark Kelly say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 22 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 1, 2026EpsteinKalshiNo0
Aug 11, 2026EpsteinKalshiYes–
Jul 30, 2026EpsteinKalshiYes–
Jul 16, 2026EpsteinKalshiNo–
Jun 25, 2026EpsteinKalshiNo–
Jun 10, 2026EpsteinKalshiYes–
Jun 5, 2026EpsteinKalshiYes–
Jun 1, 2026EpsteinKalshiYes–
Apr 7, 2026EpsteinKalshiNo–
Apr 2, 2026EpsteinKalshiYes–
Mar 31, 2026EpsteinKalshiNo–
Mar 19, 2026EpsteinKalshiYes–
Mar 5, 2026EpsteinKalshiYes–
Feb 27, 2026EpsteinKalshiNo–
Feb 26, 2026EpsteinKalshiYes–
Feb 24, 2026EpsteinKalshiYes–
Feb 17, 2026EpsteinKalshiYes–
Feb 14, 2026EpsteinKalshiYes–
Feb 13, 2026EpsteinKalshiNo–
Feb 10, 2026EpsteinKalshiNo–
Feb 3, 2026EpsteinKalshiYes–
Jan 13, 2026EpsteinKalshiNo–

Questions

How often is “Epstein” said on The Last Word?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Epstein” was said on The Last Word in 13 of 22 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 13, 2026 (59%), most recently on Aug 11, 2026.
What is the probability “Epstein” is said on The Last Word next time?
41%, from settlement history (n=22). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Last Word: ‘Epstein’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-last-word/words/epstein (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-last-word&word=epstein · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-last-word&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP