Will “Election” be said on Fox News next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Election” was said on Fox News in 5 of 23 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 4, 2026 (22%), most recently on Aug 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=23, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 5, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

35%from settlement history only · n=23counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no yes no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=election

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Fox News (interviews)

Election

Probability
35% · n=23
Settled
5/23 (22%)
Last 4 episodes
said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during Fox News: The Story with Martha MacCallum? · not listed

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What will Mark Rutte say during Fox News: America Reports? · not listed

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What will Joe Manchin say during Fox News: One Nation with Brian Kilmeade? · not said

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What will Todd Blanche say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · not listed

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What will Mike Johnson say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · settled yes

Open the appearance

We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Markwayne Mullin say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump? · settled no

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What will Ron DeSantis say during Fox News: Life, Liberty & Levin? · not listed

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What will Marco Rubio say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump? · not listed

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What will Rand Paul say during Fox News: The Will Cain Show? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mike Lawler say during Fox News: Life, Liberty & Levin? · settled yes

Open the appearance

We don’t have this transcript yet.

Every settled listing

newest first · 23 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 23, 2026ElectionKalshiNo0
Aug 15, 2026ElectionKalshiYes–
Aug 8, 2026ElectionKalshiNo–
Jul 11, 2026ElectionKalshiYes–
Jun 27, 2026ElectionKalshiNo–
Jun 14, 2026ElectionKalshiNo–
Jun 13, 2026ElectionKalshiNo–
Jun 10, 2026ElectionKalshiNo–
Jun 6, 2026ElectionKalshiNo–
May 23, 2026ElectionKalshiNo–
May 12, 2026ElectionKalshiNo–
May 11, 2026ElectionKalshiNo–
Apr 26, 2026ElectionKalshiNo–
Apr 25, 2026ElectionKalshiYes–
Apr 25, 2026ElectionKalshiNo–
Apr 18, 2026ElectionKalshiYes–
Apr 15, 2026ElectionKalshiYes–
Apr 9, 2026ElectionKalshiNo–
Mar 24, 2026ElectionKalshiNo–
Mar 8, 2026ElectionKalshiNo–
Feb 22, 2026ElectionKalshiNo–
Feb 15, 2026ElectionKalshiNo–
Feb 4, 2026ElectionKalshiNo–

Questions

How often is “Election” said on Fox News?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Election” was said on Fox News in 5 of 23 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 4, 2026 (22%), most recently on Aug 15, 2026.
What is the probability “Election” is said on Fox News next time?
35%, from settlement history (n=23). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Fox News: ‘Election’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/fox-news-interviews/words/election (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=election · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP