Fox News (interviews): Episode, May 23, 2026
Kalshi What will Chris Van Hollen say during Fox News Sunday?
Markets
10 words · 3 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hormuz | Yes | 44%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | 38%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | 25%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | No | 45%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| China / Chinese | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| NATO | No | 35%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | No | 35%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 34%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Cuba / Cuban | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Election | No | 27%n=13 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFOXNEWSMENTION-26MAY23 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP