Fox News (interviews): Episode, Apr 9, 2026
Kalshi What will Jesse Watters say during his show?
Markets
20 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Biden | Yes | 51%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Newsom / Newscum | Yes | 51%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz | Yes | 46%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Drone | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Israel / Israeli | Yes | 38%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | Yes | 37%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| JD / Vance | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | Yes | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Common Sense | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| F-15 / F-15E | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Uranium | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Radical Left | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Save Act / Save America Act | No | 34%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Pam / Bondi | No | 30%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Stock Market | No | 28%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 26%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | 26%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 25%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 24%n=8 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFOXNEWSMENTION-26APR09 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP