Fox News (interviews): Episode, Apr 15, 2026
Kalshi What will John Thune say during his Fox News interview?
Markets
13 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iran | Yes | 49%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 26%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| National Security | Yes | 24%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | 24%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Filibuster | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 41%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Tax Cut | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Supreme Court | No | 36%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / TSA | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Cheat / Cheating | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 3+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Save Act / Save America Act | No | 31%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Illegal Alien | No | 22%n=5 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFOXNEWSMENTION-26APR15B · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP