Will “New York City” be said on Saturday Night Live next time?

As of Oct 26, 2026, “New York City” was said on Saturday Night Live in 3 of 13 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 11, 2025 (23%), most recently on Mar 8, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 27% (n=13, from settlement history), not a forecast.

27%from settlement history only · n=13counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no no no no no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=saturday-night-live&word=new%20york%20city

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Saturday Night Live

New York City

Probability
27% · n=13
Settled
3/13 (23%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Saturday Night Live yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will be said during SNL Weekend Update? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Will Ferrell say during his SNL opening monologue? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said during SNL Weekend Update? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Matt Damon say during his SNL opening monologue? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said during SNL Weekend Update? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Olivia Rodrigo say during her SNL opening monologue? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said during SNL Weekend Update? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Colman Domingo say during his SNL opening monologue? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jack Black say during his SNL opening monologue? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Ryan Gosling say during his SNL opening monologue? · settled yes

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 13 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Apr 4, 2026New York CityKalshiNo
Mar 8, 2026New York CityKalshiYes
Mar 1, 2026New York CityKalshiNo
Feb 1, 2026New York CityKalshiNo
Jan 25, 2026New York CityKalshiNo
Dec 21, 2025New York CityKalshiNo
Dec 14, 2025New York CityKalshiNo
Dec 7, 2025New York CityKalshiYes
Nov 16, 2025New York CityKalshiNo
Nov 9, 2025New York CityKalshiYes
Nov 2, 2025New York CityKalshiNo
Oct 19, 2025New York CityKalshiNo
Oct 11, 2025New York CityKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “New York City” said on Saturday Night Live?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “New York City” was said on Saturday Night Live in 3 of 13 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 11, 2025 (23%), most recently on Mar 8, 2026.
What is the probability “New York City” is said on Saturday Night Live next time?
27%, from settlement history (n=13). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Saturday Night Live: ‘New York City’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/saturday-night-live/words/new-york-city (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=saturday-night-live&word=new%20york%20city · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=saturday-night-live&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP