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As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket have settled 159 word markets on Microsoft’s earnings calls and other events since 2025, on 68 different words; most reliably said: “OpenAI” (6 of 6). Next call: Oct 28, 2026 (14 words listed).

“Frontier” on the Jul 29 call · 7:07 · said 13 times. Play the clip

Next: Earnings call ·

14 words listed · Occasion page

Who counts: Kalshi: company speakers + operator

Kalshi

Microsoft: the words listed for Wed, Oct 28, how often each was said on past occasions, and the probability for this one
WordQ1’25Oct '24Q2’25Jan '25Q3’25Apr '25Q4’25Jul '25Q1’26year agoQ2’26Jan '26Q3’26Apr '26Q4’26last callTrendLast 8ScriptedAll-timeProbabilityMarket
OpenAI3+ times11 times: OpenAI (3+ times), Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said13 times: OpenAI (3+ times), Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said4 times: OpenAI (3+ times), Q3’25 Apr '25, counts as said4 times: OpenAI (3+ times), Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said18 times: OpenAI (3+ times), Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said14 times: OpenAI (3+ times), Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said12 times: OpenAI (3+ times), Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said14 times: OpenAI (3+ times), Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising8/8100%8/8100%15/8318%89%transcripts from the transcript model91¢ Kalshi
GitHub3+ times13 times: GitHub (3+ times), Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said7 times: GitHub (3+ times), Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said3 times: GitHub (3+ times), Q3’25 Apr '25, counts as said19 times: GitHub (3+ times), Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said11 times: GitHub (3+ times), Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said12 times: GitHub (3+ times), Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said11 times: GitHub (3+ times), Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said11 times: GitHub (3+ times), Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidsteady8/8100%8/8100%32/8339%87%transcripts from the transcript model90¢ Kalshi
Frontier0 times: Frontier, Q1’25 Oct '242 times: Frontier, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said1 time: Frontier, Q3’25 Apr '25, counts as said0 times: Frontier, Q4’25 Jul '250 times: Frontier, Q1’26 Oct '250 times: Frontier, Q2’26 Jan '261 time: Frontier, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said11 times: Frontier, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising4/850%2/825%14/8317%82%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts84¢ Kalshi
AMD / Advanced Micro Devices3 times: AMD / Advanced Micro Devices, Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said1 time: AMD / Advanced Micro Devices, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said0 times: AMD / Advanced Micro Devices, Q3’25 Apr '250 times: AMD / Advanced Micro Devices, Q4’25 Jul '251 time: AMD / Advanced Micro Devices, Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said2 times: AMD / Advanced Micro Devices, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said1 time: AMD / Advanced Micro Devices, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said2 times: AMD / Advanced Micro Devices, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidsteady6/875%6/875%11/8313%76%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts71¢ Kalshi
Gaming7 times: Gaming, Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said7 times: Gaming, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said9 times: Gaming, Q3’25 Apr '25, counts as said3 times: Gaming, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said3 times: Gaming, Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said4 times: Gaming, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said2 times: Gaming, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said0 times: Gaming, Q4’26 Jul '26falling7/888%7/888%68/8382%72%n=5+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts42¢ Kalshi
Anthropic / Claude0 times: Anthropic / Claude, Q1’25 Oct '240 times: Anthropic / Claude, Q2’25 Jan '250 times: Anthropic / Claude, Q3’25 Apr '252 times: Anthropic / Claude, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said1 time: Anthropic / Claude, Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said5 times: Anthropic / Claude, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said2 times: Anthropic / Claude, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said5 times: Anthropic / Claude, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising5/862%5/862%5/836%72%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts86¢ Kalshi
Cobalt1 time: Cobalt, Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said1 time: Cobalt, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said0 times: Cobalt, Q3’25 Apr '250 times: Cobalt, Q4’25 Jul '250 times: Cobalt, Q1’26 Oct '252 times: Cobalt, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said3 times: Cobalt, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said2 times: Cobalt, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising5/862%5/862%6/837%71%transcripts from the transcript model60¢ Kalshi
Maia1 time: Maia, Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said1 time: Maia, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said0 times: Maia, Q3’25 Apr '250 times: Maia, Q4’25 Jul '250 times: Maia, Q1’26 Oct '250 times: Maia, Q2’26 Jan '261 time: Maia, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said2 times: Maia, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising4/850%4/850%6/837%63%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts78¢ Kalshi
Memory3+ times0 times: Memory (3+ times), Q1’25 Oct '240 times: Memory (3+ times), Q2’25 Jan '250 times: Memory (3+ times), Q3’25 Apr '250 times: Memory (3+ times), Q4’25 Jul '250 times: Memory (3+ times), Q1’26 Oct '258 times: Memory (3+ times), Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said4 times: Memory (3+ times), Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said4 times: Memory (3+ times), Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising3/838%3/838%3/834%58%transcripts from the transcript model44¢ Kalshi
Activision / Blizzard13 times: Activision / Blizzard, Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said2 times: Activision / Blizzard, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said0 times: Activision / Blizzard, Q3’25 Apr '250 times: Activision / Blizzard, Q4’25 Jul '250 times: Activision / Blizzard, Q1’26 Oct '250 times: Activision / Blizzard, Q2’26 Jan '260 times: Activision / Blizzard, Q3’26 Apr '261 time: Activision / Blizzard, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidfalling3/838%3/838%12/8314%49%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts51¢ Kalshi
Autopilot0 times: Autopilot, Q1’25 Oct '240 times: Autopilot, Q2’25 Jan '250 times: Autopilot, Q3’25 Apr '250 times: Autopilot, Q4’25 Jul '250 times: Autopilot, Q1’26 Oct '250 times: Autopilot, Q2’26 Jan '260 times: Autopilot, Q3’26 Apr '263 times: Autopilot, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising1/812%1/812%1/831%47%transcripts from the transcript model66¢ Kalshi
Helios0 times: Helios, Q1’25 Oct '240 times: Helios, Q2’25 Jan '250 times: Helios, Q3’25 Apr '250 times: Helios, Q4’25 Jul '250 times: Helios, Q1’26 Oct '250 times: Helios, Q2’26 Jan '260 times: Helios, Q3’26 Apr '261 time: Helios, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising1/812%1/812%1/831%43%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts54¢ Kalshi
Sovereign Cloud0 times: Sovereign Cloud, Q1’25 Oct '240 times: Sovereign Cloud, Q2’25 Jan '250 times: Sovereign Cloud, Q3’25 Apr '251 time: Sovereign Cloud, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said0 times: Sovereign Cloud, Q1’26 Oct '250 times: Sovereign Cloud, Q2’26 Jan '260 times: Sovereign Cloud, Q3’26 Apr '261 time: Sovereign Cloud, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising2/825%2/825%2/832%40%transcripts from the transcript model37¢ Kalshi
Cybersecurity0 times: Cybersecurity, Q1’25 Oct '240 times: Cybersecurity, Q2’25 Jan '250 times: Cybersecurity, Q3’25 Apr '250 times: Cybersecurity, Q4’25 Jul '250 times: Cybersecurity, Q1’26 Oct '250 times: Cybersecurity, Q2’26 Jan '261 time: Cybersecurity, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said0 times: Cybersecurity, Q4’26 Jul '26steady1/812%1/812%14/8317%27%n=6+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts21¢ Kalshi
  • times said on that call
  • counted as said (ring)
  • no call
  • probability next time, with n
  • Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
Last N
of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
Trend
how the count moved over these calls
Scripted
calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
All-time
every call on file
Probability
the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 16:04 UTC.

Every word

1–40 of 63, most settled first · page 1 of 2
Microsoft: every word with settled markets, most settled first
WordQ1’25Oct '24Q2’25Jan '25Q3’25Apr '25Q4’25Jul '25Q1’26Oct '25Q2’26Jan '26Q3’26Apr '26Q4’26last callTrendLast 8ScriptedAll-timeProbability
Codex / OpenAI11 times: Codex / OpenAI, Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said13 times: Codex / OpenAI, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said4 times: Codex / OpenAI, Q3’25 Apr '25, counts as said5 times: Codex / OpenAI, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said18 times: Codex / OpenAI, Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said14 times: Codex / OpenAI, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said13 times: Codex / OpenAI, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said14 times: Codex / OpenAI, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising8/8100%8/8100%25/8330%58%n=7 from settlement history
OpenAI11 times: OpenAI, Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said13 times: OpenAI, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said4 times: OpenAI, Q3’25 Apr '25, counts as said4 times: OpenAI, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said18 times: OpenAI, Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said14 times: OpenAI, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said12 times: OpenAI, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said14 times: OpenAI, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising8/8100%8/8100%25/8330%69%n=6 from settlement history
LinkedIn8 times: LinkedIn, Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said6 times: LinkedIn, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said9 times: LinkedIn, Q3’25 Apr '25, counts as said6 times: LinkedIn, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said3 times: LinkedIn, Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said3 times: LinkedIn, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said4 times: LinkedIn, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said3 times: LinkedIn, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidfalling8/8100%8/8100%42/8351%91%n=5+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Teams3 times: Teams, Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said4 times: Teams, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said8 times: Teams, Q3’25 Apr '25, counts as said5 times: Teams, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said6 times: Teams, Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said5 times: Teams, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said4 times: Teams, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said5 times: Teams, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidsteady8/8100%8/8100%52/8363%93%n=5+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Phi0 times: Phi, Q1’25 Oct '241 time: Phi, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said2 times: Phi, Q3’25 Apr '25, counts as said0 times: Phi, Q4’25 Jul '251 time: Phi, Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said0 times: Phi, Q2’26 Jan '260 times: Phi, Q3’26 Apr '260 times: Phi, Q4’26 Jul '26falling3/838%3/838%5/836%25%n=5+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Azure29 times: Azure, Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said24 times: Azure, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said15 times: Azure, Q3’25 Apr '25, counts as said26 times: Azure, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said23 times: Azure, Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said20 times: Azure, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said15 times: Azure, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said20 times: Azure, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidsteady8/8100%8/8100%70/8384%81%n=4 from settlement history
Copilot61 times: Copilot, Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said41 times: Copilot, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said24 times: Copilot, Q3’25 Apr '25, counts as said36 times: Copilot, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said42 times: Copilot, Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said40 times: Copilot, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said44 times: Copilot, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said32 times: Copilot, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidsteady8/8100%8/8100%20/8324%81%n=4 from settlement history
AI / Artificial Intelligence68 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said64 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said56 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q3’25 Apr '25, counts as said43 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said51 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said26 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said31 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said28 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidfalling8/8100%8/8100%42/8351%80%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Anthropic0 times: Anthropic, Q1’25 Oct '240 times: Anthropic, Q2’25 Jan '250 times: Anthropic, Q3’25 Apr '250 times: Anthropic, Q4’25 Jul '251 time: Anthropic, Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said3 times: Anthropic, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said2 times: Anthropic, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said5 times: Anthropic, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising4/850%4/850%4/835%82%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
NVIDIA2 times: NVIDIA, Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said2 times: NVIDIA, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said0 times: NVIDIA, Q3’25 Apr '250 times: NVIDIA, Q4’25 Jul '252 times: NVIDIA, Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said3 times: NVIDIA, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said1 time: NVIDIA, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said2 times: NVIDIA, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidsteady6/875%6/875%11/8313%29%n=3 from settlement history
Windows 111 time: Windows 11, Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said1 time: Windows 11, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said1 time: Windows 11, Q3’25 Apr '25, counts as said2 times: Windows 11, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said1 time: Windows 11, Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said1 time: Windows 11, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said0 times: Windows 11, Q3’26 Apr '260 times: Windows 11, Q4’26 Jul '26falling6/875%6/875%19/8323%40%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Cloud37 times: Cloud, Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said32 times: Cloud, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said40 times: Cloud, Q3’25 Apr '25, counts as said38 times: Cloud, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said26 times: Cloud, Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said35 times: Cloud, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said23 times: Cloud, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said22 times: Cloud, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidfalling8/8100%8/8100%69/8383%97%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
GitHub13 times: GitHub, Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said7 times: GitHub, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said3 times: GitHub, Q3’25 Apr '25, counts as said19 times: GitHub, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said11 times: GitHub, Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said12 times: GitHub, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said11 times: GitHub, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said11 times: GitHub, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidsteady8/8100%8/8100%33/8340%63%n=2 from settlement history
M36524 times: M365, Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said16 times: M365, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said13 times: M365, Q3’25 Apr '25, counts as said16 times: M365, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said21 times: M365, Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said0 times: M365, Q2’26 Jan '2616 times: M365, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said15 times: M365, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidfalling7/888%7/888%16/8319%95%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
M365 / Microsoft 36535 times: M365 / Microsoft 365, Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said23 times: M365 / Microsoft 365, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said16 times: M365 / Microsoft 365, Q3’25 Apr '25, counts as said24 times: M365 / Microsoft 365, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said29 times: M365 / Microsoft 365, Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said29 times: M365 / Microsoft 365, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said24 times: M365 / Microsoft 365, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said21 times: M365 / Microsoft 365, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidsteady8/8100%8/8100%37/8345%97%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Serverevery call8 times: Server, Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said9 times: Server, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said9 times: Server, Q3’25 Apr '25, counts as said13 times: Server, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said7 times: Server, Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said10 times: Server, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said6 times: Server, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said4 times: Server, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidfalling8/8100%8/8100%83/83100%93%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Windowsevery call10 times: Windows, Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said14 times: Windows, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said10 times: Windows, Q3’25 Apr '25, counts as said8 times: Windows, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said8 times: Windows, Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said11 times: Windows, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said11 times: Windows, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said9 times: Windows, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidsteady8/8100%8/8100%83/83100%95%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Game Pass5 times: Game Pass, Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said2 times: Game Pass, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said1 time: Game Pass, Q3’25 Apr '25, counts as said2 times: Game Pass, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said0 times: Game Pass, Q1’26 Oct '251 time: Game Pass, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said2 times: Game Pass, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said0 times: Game Pass, Q4’26 Jul '26falling6/875%6/875%35/8342%46%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Activision12 times: Activision, Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said1 time: Activision, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said0 times: Activision, Q3’25 Apr '250 times: Activision, Q4’25 Jul '250 times: Activision, Q1’26 Oct '250 times: Activision, Q2’26 Jan '260 times: Activision, Q3’26 Apr '261 time: Activision, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidfalling3/838%3/838%12/8314%34%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Enterprise AI0 times: Enterprise AI, Q1’25 Oct '241 time: Enterprise AI, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said0 times: Enterprise AI, Q3’25 Apr '250 times: Enterprise AI, Q4’25 Jul '250 times: Enterprise AI, Q1’26 Oct '250 times: Enterprise AI, Q2’26 Jan '260 times: Enterprise AI, Q3’26 Apr '261 time: Enterprise AI, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidsteady2/825%2/825%5/836%32%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Layoff / Job Cut0 times: Layoff / Job Cut, Q1’25 Oct '240 times: Layoff / Job Cut, Q2’25 Jan '250 times: Layoff / Job Cut, Q3’25 Apr '250 times: Layoff / Job Cut, Q4’25 Jul '250 times: Layoff / Job Cut, Q1’26 Oct '250 times: Layoff / Job Cut, Q2’26 Jan '260 times: Layoff / Job Cut, Q3’26 Apr '260 times: Layoff / Job Cut, Q4’26 Jul '26steady0/80%0/80%1/831%22%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Stargate0 times: Stargate, Q1’25 Oct '242 times: Stargate, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said0 times: Stargate, Q3’25 Apr '250 times: Stargate, Q4’25 Jul '250 times: Stargate, Q1’26 Oct '250 times: Stargate, Q2’26 Jan '260 times: Stargate, Q3’26 Apr '260 times: Stargate, Q4’26 Jul '26falling1/812%0/80%1/831%17%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Agent / Agentic20 times: Agent / Agentic, Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said13 times: Agent / Agentic, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said23 times: Agent / Agentic, Q3’25 Apr '25, counts as said28 times: Agent / Agentic, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said34 times: Agent / Agentic, Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said36 times: Agent / Agentic, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said38 times: Agent / Agentic, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said41 times: Agent / Agentic, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising8/8100%8/8100%26/8331%–n=1 too little history for a probability
AI / Artificial Intelligence30+ times72 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 30+ times, Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said68 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 30+ times, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said68 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 30+ times, Q3’25 Apr '25, counts as said52 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 30+ times, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said54 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 30+ times, Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said35 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 30+ times, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said35 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 30+ times, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said29 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence 30+ times, Q4’26 Jul '26, below the thresholdfalling7/888%5/862%13/8316%64%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
CapEx6 times: CapEx, Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said5 times: CapEx, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said5 times: CapEx, Q3’25 Apr '25, counts as said6 times: CapEx, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said2 times: CapEx, Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said8 times: CapEx, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said10 times: CapEx, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said7 times: CapEx, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising8/8100%5/862%49/8359%93%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Capital Expenditure / Capex4 times: Capital Expenditure / Capex, Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said6 times: Capital Expenditure / Capex, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said8 times: Capital Expenditure / Capex, Q3’25 Apr '25, counts as said7 times: Capital Expenditure / Capex, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said4 times: Capital Expenditure / Capex, Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said8 times: Capital Expenditure / Capex, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said10 times: Capital Expenditure / Capex, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said11 times: Capital Expenditure / Capex, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising8/8100%8/8100%72/8387%78%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
ChatGPT1 time: ChatGPT, Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said2 times: ChatGPT, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said1 time: ChatGPT, Q3’25 Apr '25, counts as said3 times: ChatGPT, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said0 times: ChatGPT, Q1’26 Oct '250 times: ChatGPT, Q2’26 Jan '260 times: ChatGPT, Q3’26 Apr '261 time: ChatGPT, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidfalling5/862%3/838%11/8313%52%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Copilot20+ times65 times: Copilot 20+ times, Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said44 times: Copilot 20+ times, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said24 times: Copilot 20+ times, Q3’25 Apr '25, counts as said41 times: Copilot 20+ times, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said42 times: Copilot 20+ times, Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said40 times: Copilot 20+ times, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said48 times: Copilot 20+ times, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said33 times: Copilot 20+ times, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidsteady8/8100%8/8100%13/8316%83%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Cybersecurity / Securityevery call8 times: Cybersecurity / Security, Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said7 times: Cybersecurity / Security, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said6 times: Cybersecurity / Security, Q3’25 Apr '25, counts as said8 times: Cybersecurity / Security, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said9 times: Cybersecurity / Security, Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said16 times: Cybersecurity / Security, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said15 times: Cybersecurity / Security, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said16 times: Cybersecurity / Security, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising8/8100%8/8100%83/83100%78%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Data Center1 time: Data Center, Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said4 times: Data Center, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said7 times: Data Center, Q3’25 Apr '25, counts as said5 times: Data Center, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said7 times: Data Center, Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said3 times: Data Center, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said6 times: Data Center, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said7 times: Data Center, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising8/8100%8/8100%70/8384%78%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Database0 times: Database, Q1’25 Oct '242 times: Database, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said1 time: Database, Q3’25 Apr '25, counts as said4 times: Database, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said3 times: Database, Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said2 times: Database, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said3 times: Database, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said2 times: Database, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising7/888%7/888%51/8361%84%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
DeepSeek0 times: DeepSeek, Q1’25 Oct '244 times: DeepSeek, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said2 times: DeepSeek, Q3’25 Apr '25, counts as said1 time: DeepSeek, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said0 times: DeepSeek, Q1’26 Oct '250 times: DeepSeek, Q2’26 Jan '260 times: DeepSeek, Q3’26 Apr '260 times: DeepSeek, Q4’26 Jul '26falling3/838%3/838%3/834%31%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Dynamics8 times: Dynamics, Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said3 times: Dynamics, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said6 times: Dynamics, Q3’25 Apr '25, counts as said6 times: Dynamics, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said4 times: Dynamics, Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said5 times: Dynamics, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said5 times: Dynamics, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said7 times: Dynamics, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidsteady8/8100%8/8100%80/8396%92%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Excel2 times: Excel, Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said1 time: Excel, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said0 times: Excel, Q3’25 Apr '250 times: Excel, Q4’25 Jul '256 times: Excel, Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said1 time: Excel, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said6 times: Excel, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said1 time: Excel, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising6/875%5/862%20/8324%85%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Fabric2 times: Fabric, Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said4 times: Fabric, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said6 times: Fabric, Q3’25 Apr '25, counts as said3 times: Fabric, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said2 times: Fabric, Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said5 times: Fabric, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said6 times: Fabric, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said7 times: Fabric, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising8/8100%8/8100%28/8334%92%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Fairwater0 times: Fairwater, Q1’25 Oct '240 times: Fairwater, Q2’25 Jan '250 times: Fairwater, Q3’25 Apr '250 times: Fairwater, Q4’25 Jul '251 time: Fairwater, Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said2 times: Fairwater, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said1 time: Fairwater, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said0 times: Fairwater, Q4’26 Jul '26rising3/838%3/838%3/834%55%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Foundry0 times: Foundry, Q1’25 Oct '243 times: Foundry, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said3 times: Foundry, Q3’25 Apr '25, counts as said8 times: Foundry, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said5 times: Foundry, Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said13 times: Foundry, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said8 times: Foundry, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said9 times: Foundry, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising7/888%7/888%7/838%–n=1 too little history for a probability
GitHub10+ times13 times: GitHub 10+ times, Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said7 times: GitHub 10+ times, Q2’25 Jan '25, below the threshold3 times: GitHub 10+ times, Q3’25 Apr '25, below the threshold19 times: GitHub 10+ times, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said11 times: GitHub 10+ times, Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said12 times: GitHub 10+ times, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said11 times: GitHub 10+ times, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said11 times: GitHub 10+ times, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidsteady6/875%1/812%12/8314%67%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Hardware1 time: Hardware, Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said3 times: Hardware, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said4 times: Hardware, Q3’25 Apr '25, counts as said1 time: Hardware, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said1 time: Hardware, Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said3 times: Hardware, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said4 times: Hardware, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said2 times: Hardware, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidsteady8/8100%7/888%77/8393%86%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Intelligent cloud3 times: Intelligent cloud, Q1’25 Oct '24, counts as said3 times: Intelligent cloud, Q2’25 Jan '25, counts as said3 times: Intelligent cloud, Q3’25 Apr '25, counts as said3 times: Intelligent cloud, Q4’25 Jul '25, counts as said3 times: Intelligent cloud, Q1’26 Oct '25, counts as said5 times: Intelligent cloud, Q2’26 Jan '26, counts as said3 times: Intelligent cloud, Q3’26 Apr '26, counts as said3 times: Intelligent cloud, Q4’26 Jul '26, counts as saidsteady8/8100%8/8100%45/8354%89%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
What the columns mean
Last N
of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
Trend
how the count moved over these calls
Scripted
calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
All-time
every call on file
Probability
the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

More words (23 left)

Appearances and settled record

latest 12

Our transcript counts matched how 144 of 145 settled words resolved (99.3%). How we check.

Recent appearances and how their listed words settled
DateAppearanceTextWordsSettledOur count agreed
Jul 29, 2026Earnings call FY26 Q4Speaker-labelled transcript3726 yes · 11 no36/37 (97%)
Apr 29, 2026Earnings call FY26 Q3Speaker-labelled transcript1210 yes · 2 no12/12 (100%)
Jan 28, 2026Earnings call FY26 Q2Speaker-labelled transcript118 yes · 3 no11/11 (100%)
Oct 29, 2025Earnings call FY26 Q1Speaker-labelled transcript3426 yes · 8 no34/34 (100%)
Jul 30, 2025Earnings call FY25 Q4Speaker-labelled transcript3120 yes · 11 no31/31 (100%)
Apr 30, 2025Earnings call FY25 Q3Speaker-labelled transcript2013 yes · 7 no20/20 (100%)
Jan 29, 2025Earnings call FY25 Q2Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Oct 30, 2024Earnings call FY25 Q1Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Jul 30, 2024Earnings call FY24 Q4Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Apr 25, 2024Earnings call FY24 Q3Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Jan 30, 2024Earnings call FY24 Q2Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Oct 24, 2023Earnings call FY24 Q1Speaker-labelled transcript0––

Citeparrot.markets, “Microsoft (MSFT): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MSFT (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/microsoft · words: /api/v1/history?entity=microsoft · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP