Will Microsoft say “Anthropic”?

Microsoft said “Anthropic” 5 times on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 3, 2, 5 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Microsoft said “Anthropic” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 28, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 82% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

82%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=3Next: Keynote, Oct 28, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 3 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
30¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Microsoft

Anthropic

Probability
82% · n=3
Settled
3/3 (100%)
Last calls
said in 4 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q4 earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 · said 5 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

5 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Satya Nadellacompanyprepared · 6:11Hear it 6:05, Satya Nadella In transcript

…in the cloud with over 11,000 models, including the latest from OpenAI, Anthropic, Mistral, xAI, as well as our own MAI family. Since the start…

Satya Nadellacompanyprepared · 7:44Hear it 7:38, Satya Nadella In transcript

…on GitHub Copilot, achieving higher code acceptance rates and 10% lower median token usage while still having access to frontier capabilities from OpenAI and Anthropic.

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Apr 29, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Satya NadellacompanypreparedIn transcript

…customers can choose the right model for the right workload across OpenAI, Anthropic, open source, and more. Over 10,000 customers have used more than one…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jan 28, 2026 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

3 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Satya NadellacompanypreparedIn transcript

…as well as Claude 4.5. Already over 1,500 customers have used both Anthropic and OpenAI models on Foundry. We are seeing increasing demand for region-specific…

Satya NadellacompanypreparedIn transcript

…developers. GitHub AgentHQ is the organizing layer for all coding agents like Anthropic, OpenAI, Google, Cognition, and xAI in the context of customers' GitHub repos.…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Oct 29, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jul 30, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Apr 30, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jan 29, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Oct 30, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 29, 2026AnthropicPolymarketYes5
Jul 29, 2026AnthropicKalshiYes5
Apr 29, 2026AnthropicKalshiYes2
Jan 28, 2026AnthropicKalshiYes3

Questions

How many times did Microsoft say “Anthropic” on its last earnings call?
Microsoft said “Anthropic” 5 times on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 3, 2, 5 times.
How often does Microsoft say “Anthropic”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Microsoft said “Anthropic” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 28, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 29, 2026.
What is the probability Microsoft says “Anthropic” next time?
82%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Microsoft: ‘Anthropic’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MSFT/words/anthropic (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=microsoft&word=anthropic · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=microsoft&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP