Will Microsoft say “Claude / Anthropic”?

Microsoft said “Claude / Anthropic” 5 times on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on 5 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 2, 1, 5, 2, 5 times. As of Oct 23, 2026, Microsoft did not say “Claude / Anthropic” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 10, 2026.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Market
30¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Microsoft

Claude / Anthropic

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
0/1 (0%)
Last calls
said in 5 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

FY26 Q4 earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 · said 5 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

5 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Satya Nadellacompanyprepared · 6:11Hear it 6:05, Satya Nadella In transcript

…in the cloud with over 11,000 models, including the latest from OpenAI, Anthropic, Mistral, xAI, as well as our own MAI family. Since the start…

Satya Nadellacompanyprepared · 7:44Hear it 7:38, Satya Nadella In transcript

…on GitHub Copilot, achieving higher code acceptance rates and 10% lower median token usage while still having access to frontier capabilities from OpenAI and Anthropic.

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Apr 29, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Satya NadellacompanypreparedIn transcript

…customers can choose the right model for the right workload across OpenAI, Anthropic, open source, and more. Over 10,000 customers have used more than one…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jan 28, 2026 · said 5 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

5 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Satya NadellacompanypreparedIn transcript

…any hyperscaler. This quarter, we added support for GPT-5.0.2 as well as Claude 4.5. Already over 1,500 customers have used both Anthropic and OpenAI models…

Satya NadellacompanypreparedIn transcript

…also seeing strong momentum with Researcher Agent, which supports both OpenAI and Claude, as well as Agent Mode in Excel, PowerPoint, and Word. All up,…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Oct 29, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jul 30, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Apr 30, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jan 29, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Oct 30, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Sep 10, 2026Anthropic / ClaudeKalshiNo

Questions

How many times did Microsoft say “Claude / Anthropic” on its last earnings call?
Microsoft said “Claude / Anthropic” 5 times on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on 5 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 2, 1, 5, 2, 5 times.
How often does Microsoft say “Claude / Anthropic”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Microsoft did not say “Claude / Anthropic” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 10, 2026.
What is the probability Microsoft says “Claude / Anthropic” next time?
25%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Microsoft: ‘Claude / Anthropic’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MSFT/words/anthropic-or-claude (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=microsoft&word=anthropic%20%2F%20claude · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=microsoft&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP