Will Microsoft say “Maia”?

Microsoft said “Maia” 2 times on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 2 times. As of Oct 23, 2026, Microsoft said “Maia” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 63% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

63%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1Next: Earnings call, Oct 28, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
79¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Microsoft

Maia

Probability
63% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 4 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q4 earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Satya Nadellacompanyprepared · 5:03Hear it 5:03, Satya Nadella In transcript

…environments. We also continue to modernize our fleet with our own silicon innovation alongside the latest from NVIDIA and AMD. Maia 200 continues to scale.

Satya Nadellacompanyprepared · 7:01Hear it 6:56, Satya Nadella In transcript

…are seeing 40% better performance per watt when running MAI models on Maia 200. More importantly, we are building a new model system where the…

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Apr 29, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Satya NadellacompanypreparedIn transcript

…including Azure Boost, as well as our first-party CPUs and accelerators. Our Maia 200 AI accelerator, which offers over 30% improved tokens per dollar compared…

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jan 28, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Oct 29, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jul 30, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Apr 30, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jan 29, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Satya NadellacompanypreparedIn transcript

…from AMD, Intel, NVIDIA as well as our first-party silicon innovation from Maia, Cobalt, Boost and HSM. When it comes to cloud migrations, we continue…

FY25 Q1 earnings call, Oct 30, 2024 · said 1 time (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 29, 2026MaiaKalshiYes2

Questions

How many times did Microsoft say “Maia” on its last earnings call?
Microsoft said “Maia” 2 times on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 2 times.
How often does Microsoft say “Maia”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Microsoft said “Maia” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 29, 2026.
What is the probability Microsoft says “Maia” next time?
63%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Microsoft: ‘Maia’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MSFT/words/maia (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=microsoft&word=maia · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=microsoft&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP