Will Microsoft say “OpenAI” 3+ times?

Microsoft said “OpenAI” 14 times on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and 3+ times on each of its last 8 calls: 11, 13, 4, 4, 18, 14, 12, 14 times. As of Oct 23, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on Microsoft saying “OpenAI” 3+ times has settled yet. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 89% (from the transcript model), not a forecast.

89%from transcript modelNext: Earnings call, Oct 28, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
91¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Microsoft

OpenAI (3+ times)

Probability
89% · n=0
Last calls
said in 8 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q4 earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 · said 14 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

14 counted (14 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Satya Nadellacompanyprepared · 5:12Hear it 5:06, Satya Nadella In transcript

…the latest generation hardware in our fleet and is now supporting both OpenAI and MAI models. And we will be among the first cloud providers…

Satya Nadellacompanyprepared · 5:36Hear it 5:30, Satya Nadella In transcript

…first-party workloads as well as workloads for customers, including Adobe, Arm, Elastic, OpenAI, Sprinklr, and TomTom. By the end of this month, we expect to…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Apr 29, 2026 · said 12 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

12 counted (11 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Satya NadellacompanypreparedIn transcript

…so customers can choose the right model for the right workload across OpenAI, Anthropic, open source, and more. Over 10,000 customers have used more than…

Satya NadellacompanypreparedIn transcript

…and WPP for the first time through Foundry. We are innovating on OpenAI IP to drive product evals and lower cogs. Two recent examples of…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jan 28, 2026 · said 14 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

14 counted (13 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Satya NadellacompanypreparedIn transcript

…we were able to achieve in one of our highest volume workloads, OpenAI inferencing, powering our co-pilots. And another example was the unlocking of new…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Oct 29, 2025 · said 18 times (counts)

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jul 30, 2025 · said 4 times (counts)

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Apr 30, 2025 · said 4 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jan 29, 2025 · said 13 times (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Oct 30, 2024 · said 11 times (counts)

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Questions

How many times did Microsoft say “OpenAI” on its last earnings call?
Microsoft said “OpenAI” 14 times on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and 3+ times on each of its last 8 calls: 11, 13, 4, 4, 18, 14, 12, 14 times.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Microsoft: ‘OpenAI (3+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MSFT/words/openai-3plus (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=microsoft&word=openai%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=microsoft&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP