Will Microsoft say “Game Pass”?
Microsoft did not say “Game Pass” on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4); it said it on 6 of its last 8 calls: 5, 2, 1, 2, 0, 1, 2, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Microsoft said “Game Pass” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 30, 2025 (50%), most recently on Apr 30, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Microsoft
Game Pass
- Probability
- 47% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last calls
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…core fans and players and shaping the future of play. Last week's Game Pass changes are one example of how we are staying responsive to…
…strong first-party content as well as the recent price changes for Xbox Game Pass as we focus on delivering more value to gamers. Hardware revenue…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…that benefited from strong content performance, partially offset by growth in Xbox Game Pass. And hardware revenue should decline year over year. Now some additional…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…500 million hours of gameplay stream via the cloud this year. And Game Pass annual revenue was nearly $5 billion for the first time. In…
…in constant currency, driven by better-than-expected performance from first-party content and Xbox Game Pass. Segment gross margin dollars increased 15%. Gross margin percentage increased 3…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Microsoft say “Game Pass” on its last earnings call?
- Microsoft did not say “Game Pass” on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4); it said it on 6 of its last 8 calls: 5, 2, 1, 2, 0, 1, 2, 0 times.
- How often does Microsoft say “Game Pass”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Microsoft said “Game Pass” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 30, 2025 (50%), most recently on Apr 30, 2025.
- What is the probability Microsoft says “Game Pass” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “Microsoft: ‘Game Pass’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MSFT/words/game-pass (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=microsoft&word=game%20pass · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=microsoft&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP