Will Microsoft say “ChatGPT”?

Microsoft said “ChatGPT” 1 time on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on 5 of its last 8 calls: 1, 2, 1, 3, 0, 0, 0, 1 times. As of Oct 23, 2026, Microsoft said “ChatGPT” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 30, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 52% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

52%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: company speakers
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Microsoft

ChatGPT

Probability
52% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 5 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers

FY26 Q4 earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Satya Nadellacompanyprepared · 10:22Hear it 10:18, Satya Nadella In transcript

…It is already being used by the most popular AI assistants, including ChatGPT. Beyond model choice, data, and context, we are building Foundry as the…

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Apr 29, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jan 28, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Oct 29, 2025 · not said

Open the appearance

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jul 30, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

3 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Satya NadellacompanypreparedIn transcript

…OpenAI, for example, uses Cosmos DB in the hot path of every ChatGPT interaction, storing chat history, user profiles and conversational state. And Azure PostgreSQL…

Satya NadellacompanyqaIn transcript

…-- what we're doing with Cosmos DB for a chat interface like ChatGPT or Copilot, is, guess what, going to be the most relevant for…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Apr 30, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Satya NadellacompanyqaIn transcript

…think we’ve mentioned this multiple times before. If you look underneath even ChatGPT, in fact, that team does a fantastic job of thinking about not…

Karl KeirsteadanalystqaIn transcript

…us to see that on the outside. Was it a surge in ChatGPT inference that landed in Azure? Was it an uptick in enterprise AI…

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jan 29, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

Open the appearance

FY25 Q1 earnings call, Oct 30, 2024 · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Apr 30, 2025ChatGPTKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did Microsoft say “ChatGPT” on its last earnings call?
Microsoft said “ChatGPT” 1 time on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on 5 of its last 8 calls: 1, 2, 1, 3, 0, 0, 0, 1 times.
How often does Microsoft say “ChatGPT”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Microsoft said “ChatGPT” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 30, 2025.
What is the probability Microsoft says “ChatGPT” next time?
52%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers.

Cite parrot.markets, “Microsoft: ‘ChatGPT’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MSFT/words/chatgpt (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=microsoft&word=chatgpt · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=microsoft&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP