Will Microsoft say “Agent / Agentic”?

Microsoft said “Agent / Agentic” 41 times on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on each of its last 8 calls: 20, 13, 23, 28, 34, 36, 38, 41 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Microsoft said “Agent / Agentic” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 10, 2026.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Last said
Sep 9, 2026
Counts
named speaker only
Market
76¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Microsoft

Agent / Agentic

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 8 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

FY26 Q4 earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 · said 41 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

41 counted (32 in prepared remarks, 9 in Q&A).

Satya Nadellacompanyprepared · 5:25Hear it 5:23, Satya Nadella In transcript

…on AMD Helios and NVIDIA Vera Rubin. When it comes to running agents, CPUs are just as important as GPUs. Our Cobalt VMs are powering…

Satya Nadellacompanyprepared · 5:55Hear it 5:49, Satya Nadella In transcript

…let me turn to the end-to-end platform we're building on this infrastructure to run, govern, and distribute apps and agents. It starts with model choice.

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Apr 29, 2026 · said 38 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

38 counted (28 in prepared remarks, 10 in Q&A).

Satya NadellacompanypreparedIn transcript

…most consequential platform shifts that will change the entire tech stack as agents proliferate and become the dominant workload. This will drive TAM expansion and…

Satya NadellacompanypreparedIn transcript

…leading cloud and AI infrastructure for agentic computing era. Second, we are building high-value agentic systems across core domains such as productivity, coding, and security.

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jan 28, 2026 · said 36 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

36 counted (32 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A); 4 by speakers the rule does not count.

Satya NadellacompanypreparedIn transcript

…remarks across the three layers of our stack: Cloud and Token Factory, agent platform, and high-value agentic experiences. When it comes to our cloud and…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Oct 29, 2025 · said 34 times (counts)

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jul 30, 2025 · said 28 times (counts)

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Apr 30, 2025 · said 23 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jan 29, 2025 · said 13 times (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Oct 30, 2024 · said 20 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Sep 10, 2026Agent / AgenticKalshiYes

Questions

How many times did Microsoft say “Agent / Agentic” on its last earnings call?
Microsoft said “Agent / Agentic” 41 times on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on each of its last 8 calls: 20, 13, 23, 28, 34, 36, 38, 41 times.
How often does Microsoft say “Agent / Agentic”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Microsoft said “Agent / Agentic” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 10, 2026.
What is the probability Microsoft says “Agent / Agentic” next time?
78%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Microsoft: ‘Agent / Agentic’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MSFT/words/agent-or-agentic (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=microsoft&word=agent%20%2F%20agentic · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=microsoft&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP