Will Microsoft say “Frontier”?
Microsoft said “Frontier” 11 times on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 2, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 11 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Microsoft said “Frontier” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 29, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 65% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 57¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Microsoft
Frontier
- Probability
- 65% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: company speakers + operator
11 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 6 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…action space are separate from any one model family, thereby moving the frontier on the cost-to-outcome curve. It's not just about cost. It also has…
…on GitHub Copilot, achieving higher code acceptance rates and 10% lower median token usage while still having access to frontier capabilities from OpenAI and Anthropic.
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…it starts with, quite frankly, IP. Amy referenced this. We have a frontier model, royalty-free, with all the IP rights that we will have access…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…availability than any other hyperscaler. We are also excited about the next frontier in cloud systems with quantum. In addition to putting our quantum stack…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Microsoft say “Frontier” on its last earnings call?
- Microsoft said “Frontier” 11 times on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 2, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 11 times.
- How often does Microsoft say “Frontier”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Microsoft said “Frontier” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 29, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 29, 2026.
- What is the probability Microsoft says “Frontier” next time?
- 65%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Microsoft: ‘Frontier’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MSFT/words/frontier (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=microsoft&word=frontier · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=microsoft&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP