Will Microsoft say “Stargate”?

Microsoft did not say “Stargate” on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 23, 2026, Microsoft did not say “Stargate” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 30, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 17% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

17%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Microsoft

Stargate

Probability
17% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)
Last calls
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q4 earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q3 earnings call, Apr 29, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jan 28, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Oct 29, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jul 30, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Apr 30, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jan 29, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Karl KeirsteadanalystqaIn transcript

…from the numbers. But Satya, I wanted to ask you about the Stargate news and the announced changes in the OpenAI relationship last week. It…

Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.

Karl KeirsteadanalystqaIn transcript

…needs. I was hoping you might frame your strategic decision here around Stargate, and Amy, whether there's any takeaway for investors from that decision in…

Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.

FY25 Q1 earnings call, Oct 30, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 29, 2025StargatePolymarketNo0
Oct 29, 2025StargateKalshiNo0
Jul 30, 2025StargatePolymarketNo0
Jul 30, 2025StargateKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Microsoft say “Stargate” on its last earnings call?
Microsoft did not say “Stargate” on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
How often does Microsoft say “Stargate”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Microsoft did not say “Stargate” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 30, 2025.
What is the probability Microsoft says “Stargate” next time?
17%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Microsoft: ‘Stargate’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MSFT/words/stargate (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=microsoft&word=stargate · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=microsoft&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP