Will Microsoft say “Phi”?
Microsoft did not say “Phi” on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 2, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 25, 2026, Microsoft said “Phi” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 30, 2025 (20%), most recently on Oct 29, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 25% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Microsoft
Phi
- Probability
- 25% · n=5
- Settled
- 1/5 (20%)
- Last calls
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…industry leader boards. And we continue to make great progress with our Phi family of SLMs, which now have been downloaded over 60 million times,…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…Cohere, DeepSeek, Meta, Mistral, Stability to Foundry. And we have expanded our Phi family of SLMs with new multimodal and mini models. All up, Phi…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…GitHub with automated red teaming, content safety integration and security scanning. Our Phi family of SLMs has now been downloaded over 20 million times and…
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How many times did Microsoft say “Phi” on its last earnings call?
- Microsoft did not say “Phi” on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 2, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Microsoft say “Phi”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Microsoft said “Phi” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 30, 2025 (20%), most recently on Oct 29, 2025.
- What is the probability Microsoft says “Phi” next time?
- 25%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Microsoft: ‘Phi’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MSFT/words/phi (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=microsoft&word=phi · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=microsoft&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP