Will Microsoft say “Gaming”?
Microsoft did not say “Gaming” on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4); it said it on 7 of its last 8 calls: 7, 7, 9, 3, 3, 4, 2, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Microsoft said “Gaming” at 4 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 30, 2025 (80%), most recently on Apr 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 72% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 4/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 42¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Microsoft
Gaming
- Probability
- 72% · n=5
- Settled
- 4/5 (80%)
- Last calls
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…by higher volume and revenue per search across Edge and Bing. In gaming, revenue decreased 7% and 9% in constant currency. Xbox content and services…
…in constant currency, driven by impairment and other related expenses in our gaming business, as well as continued investments in shared R&D mentioned earlier that…
Counts: company speakers + operator
4 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…growth in LinkedIn with 30% growth in paid video ads. And in gaming, we are committed to delivering great games across Xbox, PC, cloud, and…
…compute capacity and AI talent as well as impairment charges in our gaming business. Operating margins increased year over year to 47% ahead of expectations.…
Counts: company speakers + operator
3 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…bring their own AI to work in a secure way. Finally, in gaming, Copilot provides a voice-first immersive experience across PC, mobile and our new…
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Microsoft say “Gaming” on its last earnings call?
- Microsoft did not say “Gaming” on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q4); it said it on 7 of its last 8 calls: 7, 7, 9, 3, 3, 4, 2, 0 times.
- How often does Microsoft say “Gaming”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Microsoft said “Gaming” at 4 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 30, 2025 (80%), most recently on Apr 29, 2026.
- What is the probability Microsoft says “Gaming” next time?
- 72%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Microsoft: ‘Gaming’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MSFT/words/gaming (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=microsoft&word=gaming · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=microsoft&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP